Obsessive Matt Garza Trade Watch: “100 Percent” Certain He Starts for the Cubs Tonight (UPDATE)

matt garza cubsIn the lead-up to each of Matt Garza’s last three starts – a stretch that dates back to the beginning of this month – the story line has been, “will this be Matt Garza’s last start with the Cubs?” I never bought into it, not because I didn’t think there was a chance he’d be dealt before the All-Star break, but because it’s kind of an empty narrative. I mean, yeah, sure it could be his last start. But maybe it won’t. And then you just have to do the dance all over again in five days. To me, you can’t reach that level of focus on a singular start until, at least, after the All-Star break (and that’s coming from a guy who does Obsessive Watches).

Well, we’ve passed the All-Star break. Moreover, we’ve passed a stretch that saw Garza very nearly dealt to the Rangers on Friday, and then become the focus of rumor rumblings all weekend long. And lastly, we’re about to watch Garza make his first of just two theoretically available starts with the Cubs before the Trade Deadline.

In other words … it’s ok to do the heavy-focus-on-this-start-thing now.

Will Garza actually make tonight’s start against the Diamondbacks? Well, Dale Sveum tried to answer that question as affirmatively as he could yesterday.

“I’d say 100 percent he’s going to be pitching tomorrow,” Sveum said when asked about Garza starting tonight in Arizona, per Cubs.com. So it’s a lock, right? No deal today!

Well …

“All I know is he’s pitching tomorrow, and I guess if we get a phone call and something changes, that’s the way it is,” Sveum said. “But it’s not something that consumes me, I don’t live my life that way.”

And that’s completely fair. It’s not as though the front office is keeping Sveum in the dark. They don’t know when the right deal for Garza is going to present itself. If it doesn’t come today, then Sveum – and Garza, God bless him – has to continue about his day as though he knows precisely who is going to start tonight. From Sveum’s perspective, having not heard anything else, it is 100 percent certain that Garza will start tonight for the Cubs. Until he doesn’t. If he doesn’t. We’ll see.

No contingency plans have been put into motion as of yet, said Sveum, which probably means that Chris Rusin has not been tapped to head out to Arizona. Instead, Rusin is scheduled to start tonight in Iowa. If a Garza deal comes too late in the day to get Rusin out to Arizona, the Cubs may have to bump Travis Wood up a day (which would be OK, given the All-Star break). But if you don’t see Rusin heading out to Arizona at any point today, the Cubs must not feel like a Garza trade is reasonably possible before tonight.

At which point, we’ll all watch Garza start, hold our breaths a little bit, and get ready to do another five days of dancing. With the Red Sox not hearing about Clay Buchholz’s meeting with Dr. James Andrews until later today, and with teams like the Indians, A’s and Pirates seemingly pushing more and more into the Garza talks by the day, maybe another five days to work on a deal isn’t the worst thing in the world.

UPDATE (12:10pm CT): As of right now, Ken Rosenthal doesn’t see any indication that Garza is not making this start tonight. No move by the Cubs yet to bring anyone up, and no obvious long reliever available to fill in. He could just be regurgitating the essence of what Dale Sveum was saying, but it’s another modest data point.

written by

Brett Taylor is the Lead Cubs Writer at Bleacher Nation, and you can find him on Twitter at @BleacherNation and on LinkedIn here. Brett is also the founder of Bleacher Nation, which opened up shop in 2008 as an independent blog about the Chicago Cubs. Later growing to incorporate coverage of other Chicago sports, Bleacher Nation is now one of the largest regional sports blogs on the web.

more cubs news

MLBits: Elly’s Anniversary Blast, In the Weeds with Bat Tracking Data, Comparing Judge-Soto to Greats of the Past, More

MLB Notes — On the one-year anniversary of his Major League debut, Elly De La Cruz ripped a three-run home run that erased a 2-0 deficit for Cincinnati, who went on to beat the Cubs 8-4 on Thursday at Great...

Cubs Farm Report | June 7, 2024: Jaxon Wiggins’ Strong Debut Leads Pelicans to Victory

CUBS PROSPECTS — Cubs second-rounder Jaxon Wiggins made his Myrtle Beach Pelicans debut on Thursday and looked excellent, as the Pelicans earned the only win for the Cubs down on the farm yesterday. That and more in today's Cubs Farm...

Craig Counsell is the Highest Paid Manger in MLB, But I Don’t Think You’ll Believe Who’s No. 2…

This past offseason, the Chicago Cubs made Craig Counsell the highest paid manager in MLB history, signing him to a record-setting five-year, $40M contract. This is just off the top of my head, but I'm pretty sure that deal puts...

Cubs Attached to a Top Prospect in the 2025 International Class

The 2024 Dominican Summer League kicked off this week, which means many of the top prospects from the 2024 International Free Agent class are beginning their professional careers (including top Chicago Cubs signing Fernando Cruz). It's good timing, then, to...

A Bit of Fun (Because We Need It), Amaya’s Development, Hodge’s Night, Edwards, Swanson, and Other Cubs Bullets

Surprise: the White Sox series did not magically fix all that ails the Cubs. They will have to fundamentally improve over a much, much, much longer trajectory for us to feel any kind of confidence that they can actually get...

An Early Lead? Wha? Seiya Suzuki With the Two-Run Shot

Maybe it's just my damaged heart, but it feels like weeks since the Cubs took an early, multi-run lead in a game. Thank you, Miguel Amaya for the third inning single, and thank you, Seiya Suzuki for the following homer:

Christopher Morel Puts the Cubs Back On Top

It's a game of homers so far, with Seiya Suzuki's two-run shot getting it started, then Elly De La Cruz's three-run homer giving the Reds the lead, and now Christopher Morel's two-run shot taking it back. That's a dozen on...

Nick Madrigal Broke His Hand In His First Game At Triple-A Iowa

[ankin_law] Whether you felt he should be sent back down to Triple-A Iowa or not, and whatever you think of his future role with the Chicago Cubs, I don't think you can feel anything but bad about what happened to...

Big Night for the Cubs’ Top Two 2023 Pitching Draft Picks, Will Sanders and Jaxon Wiggins

Last year, the Chicago Cubs selected just two pitchers in their first nine picks in the MLB Draft. In the second round, they took Arkansas righty Jaxon Wiggins, and in the fourth round, they took South Carolina righty Will Sanders....

Enhanced Box Score: Reds 8, Cubs 4 – June 6, 2024

The Cubs take the lead! And then immediately lose it. The Cubs take the lead again! And then immediately lose it. I tend to think some of the timing - the immediacy - is coincidental, but regardless, it makes for...

Latest News

Miami Heat Mock Draft: Heat Turn 2 Picks Into Unique Star & Starter

In the upcoming 2024 NBA Draft, the Miami Heat are poised to make strategic moves with their two picks, the 15th overall and the 43rd overall. This Miami Heat Mock Draft is designed to target the best talent available while...

Brewers vs. Tigers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, June 7, 2024

The Milwaukee Brewers (36-26) hope to avoid their fourth straight defeat when they visit the Detroit Tigers (31-31) Friday at 6:40 PM ET on BSDET. The Brewers are listed as -116 favorites to snap their losing skid, while the Tigers...

Blue Jays vs. Athletics Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, June 7, 2024

The Toronto Blue Jays (30-32) are set to take on the Oakland Athletics (25-39) Friday at 9:40 PM ET, airing on SN1. The Blue Jays are listed as -163 favorites by oddsmakers, while the underdog Athletics have +139 odds for...

Astros vs. Angels Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, June 7, 2024

The Los Angeles Angels (24-38) will put their three-game win streak to the test when they host the Houston Astros (28-35) Friday at 9:38 PM ET on SCHN. Bookmakers consider the Astros to be -163 favorites, while the Angels are...

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, June 7, 2024

The San Diego Padres (32-34) hope to avoid their sixth straight defeat when they host the Arizona Diamondbacks (30-33) Friday at 9:40 PM ET on ARID. The Padres are listed as -124 favorites to snap their losing skid, while the...

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Series June 8-9: Odds, Starting Pitchers & Predictions

The Philadelphia Phillies are opening a two-game set versus the New York Mets at London Stadium in London, United Kingdom on Saturday, June 8 at 1:10 PM ET.Mets vs. Phillies Series Info Phillies @ Mets Time: Saturday, June 8 at...

How to Watch Brewers vs. Tigers: Live Stream or on TV

On Friday, William Contreras and the Milwaukee Brewers (36-26) play Riley Greene and the Detroit Tigers (31-31), with first pitch scheduled for 6:40 PM ET at Comerica Park.Keep reading to find out how to watch the Milwaukee-Detroit matchup in the...

MLBits: Elly’s Anniversary Blast, In the Weeds with Bat Tracking Data, Comparing Judge-Soto to Greats of the Past, More

MLB Notes — On the one-year anniversary of his Major League debut, Elly De La Cruz ripped a three-run home run that erased a 2-0 deficit for Cincinnati, who went on to beat the Cubs 8-4 on Thursday at Great...

Craig Counsell is the Highest Paid Manger in MLB, But I Don’t Think You’ll Believe Who’s No. 2…

This past offseason, the Chicago Cubs made Craig Counsell the highest paid manager in MLB history, signing him to a record-setting five-year, $40M contract. This is just off the top of my head, but I'm pretty sure that deal puts...

Astros vs. Angels Probable Starting Pitchers – June 7

The Los Angeles Angels (24-38) enter a contest against the Houston Astros (28-35) on Friday following a three-game winning streak. The game is set to begin at 9:38 PM ET at Angel Stadium of Anaheim.The probable starters are Framber Valdez...

more cubs news