Braves vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, April 12, 2024

Marcell Ozuna (10 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Atlanta Braves (7-4) and Miami Marlins (2-11) meet Friday at 7:10 PM ET, live on BSSO from LoanDepot park. Ozuna and the Braves are favored by bookmakers with -198 odds on the moneyline.

Atlanta’s Max Fried gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Trevor Rogers.

Braves vs. Marlins Odds

  • Braves odds to win: -198
  • Marlins odds to win: +165
  • Spread: Braves -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, April 12, 2024
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV: BSSO
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    Who Will Win Braves vs. Marlins?

    Braves and Marlins Betting Trends

    The Braves have been the moneyline favorite 11 total times this season. They’ve gone 7-4 in those games.

    Atlanta has a 4-1 record (winning 80% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -198 or shorter.

    This season, the Marlins have won two out of the six games in which they’ve been the underdog.

    Miami has played as an underdog of +165 or more twice this season and split those games.

    The Braves have played in 11 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total eight times (8-2-1).

    The Marlins’ games have gone over the total in eight of their 13 chances.

    Braves Stats & Insights

    The Braves are the fourth-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 6.6 runs per game (73 total).

    Atlanta ranks ninth-best in MLB play with 14 total home runs.

    The Braves have a league-high .303 batting average.

    Atlanta’s hitters strike out 8.5 times per game, the sixth-lowest average in the majors.

    The Braves pitching staff is 21st in MLB with a collective 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Atlanta has a 5.01 team ERA that ranks 25th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Marlins Stats & Insights

    The Marlins have scored 47 runs (3.6 per game) this season, which ranks 23rd in MLB.

    Miami has hit just 10 homers this season, which ranks 26th in the majors.

    The Marlins have a team batting average of just .204 this season, which ranks 29th among MLB teams.

    Miami ranks 17th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.1 Ks per contest.

    The Marlins average the 19th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.2) in the majors this season.

    Miami has pitched to a 4.92 ERA this season, which ranks 23rd in baseball.

    Braves Key Players to Watch

    Fried (0-0) pitches for the Braves to make his third start of the season.

    Ozzie Albies is batting .319 with two home runs and 12 RBI for Atlanta this season.

    Ozuna leads Atlanta in home runs with five and runs batted in with 13.

    Matt Olson has 13 hits this season and a slash line of .283/.353/.652.

    Michael Harris II is batting .341 with an OBP of .396 and a slugging percentage of .568 this season.

    Marlins Key Players to Watch

    The Marlins will send Rogers to the mound for his third start of the season.

    Jake Burger paces the Marlins in home runs (three) and runs batted in (15).

    Jazz Chisholm is batting .195 with two doubles, two home runs and nine walks.

    Luis Arraez is hitting .250 with two doubles, a triple and six walks.

    Josh Bell is batting .188 with a double, a home run and seven walks.

    Braves and Marlins Injuries

    Braves: Sean Murphy: 10 Day IL (Oblique strain), Angel Perdomo: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Spencer Strider: 15 Day IL (Right elbow strain)

    Marlins: Xavier Edwards: 10 Day IL (Foot), Josh Simpson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edward Cabrera: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Braxton Garrett: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Neck), Sandy Alcantara: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eury Pérez: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Braves vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 6, Marlins 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Braves vs. Marlins

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