Welcome to the Playoffs Before the Playoffs

At this time last year, not only had the Chicago Cubs formally clinched the NL Central nearly a week ago, but they’d clinched it for all intents and purposes for a solid month or two. Everything at this point was focused on the coming playoffs. The chance to finally do it.

This year, we’re not so much focused on the same things, not only because the Cubs did finally do it (now they can do it again!), but also because the Cubs are still several days or more away from clinching the NL Central. If it happens at all.

Now, they head to Milwaukee tonight, to face the very team that’s chasing them in the Central, for a four-game series that very well may determine the outcome in the division this year. Consider it the playoffs before the playoffs, because, essentially, it is.

Here’s the good news: the Cubs come into this “playoff” series with an enormous advantage in the form if a 3.5-game lead. Consider the possible outcomes of this four-game series.

  • Cubs sweep: the Cubs clinch the NL Central. (I am assuming the Cardinals do not stage a miracle comeback, though I suppose it’s possible.)
  • Cubs win 3 of 4: the Cubs extend their lead over the Brewers to 5.5 games with 7 games left to play, and their magic number is just 2.
  • Cubs and Brewers split: the magic number is just 4 with those 7 games to play, and even if the Cubs lost all 7, they could still win the Central if the Brewers don’t go at least .500 in their final 6 games.
  • Brewers win 3 of 4: the Cubs’ lead is cut to 1.5 games. Not good, but still a healthy margin (two in the loss column) with only a week left to go.
  • Brewers sweep: the Cubs now trail in the Central by 0.5 games, but are tied in the loss column.
  • Thanks to that Pirates walk-off win over the Brewers last night, those scenarios look so much better than they would have with a mere 2.5-game lead. Just like it was a couple weekends ago against the Brewers, the mantra is JUST. DON’T. GET. SWEPT.

    Truly, any of the other three outcomes are acceptable, and even a sweep isn’t going to leave the Cubs definitely out in the cold. That is to say, the Cubs have put themselves in a really nice position entering this series.

    … but why mess around? The sooner the Cubs can clinch, the better spot they’ll be in to rest up and line their guys up for the postseason. These Brewers are hungry, and are battling for a Wild Card spot, too (just 1.0 game out). They will be treating this series like the playoffs. The Cubs would do well to do the same.

    (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)

    written by

    Brett Taylor is the Lead Cubs Writer at Bleacher Nation, and you can find him on Twitter at @BleacherNation and on LinkedIn here. Brett is also the founder of Bleacher Nation, which opened up shop in 2008 as an independent blog about the Chicago Cubs. Later growing to incorporate coverage of other Chicago sports, Bleacher Nation is now one of the largest regional sports blogs on the web.

    more cubs news

    Horrible History, Morel’s Knee, Almonte’s Shoulder, Hoerner, Wesneski, Hendricks, Mervis, and Other Cubs Bullets

    Happy Mother's Day to the mothers among you, and to the mothers in my life! I'll be doing some extra family stuff today, so I'm gonna cruise through these Bullets ... Up front, because this was certainly the thing most...

    Kyle Hendricks Will Start for the Big League Cubs Tomorrow

    The Sunday TBD has been D'd, and it's going to be Kyle Hendricks coming back an outing early. Instead of making another rehab start at Iowa, Hendricks is going to be activated from the IL to rejoin the rotation tomorrow:...

    Enhanced Box Score: Pirates 10, Cubs 9 – May 11, 2024

    The Cubs came within 90 feet of keeping that ridiculous game going. No dice. Stupid game. Early on, it just kinda seemed like the Cubs might lose a perfectly normal - bad, but normal - game. Justin Steele did not...

    Pre-Gamin’: Cubs at Pirates (3:05 CT) – Lineups, Broadcast Info, Game Thread

    CUBS LINEUP — After a little tease yesterday, Seiya Suzuki is actually, officially in the Cubs lineup today. And he'll be greeted with a tough matchup against the top pitching prospect in Major League Baseball. Welcome back! Chicago Cubs Lineup:...

    Oh, Good, Yency Almonte is Now Also Hurt

    Today the Chicago Cubs placed reliever Yency Almonte on the Injured List with a right shoulder strain. Jose Cuas has been recalled from Iowa to take his place in the bullpen. Almonte, together with Mark Leiter Jr., had been performing...

    Credit to Assad, Huge Ups to Brown, Hopes for Taillon, Happ’s Bat and Glove, Bellinger History, and Other Cubs Bullets

    How did I not know that the Aurora Borealis was going to be visible last night?!?!? I woke up this morning to all these awesome pictures from friends and other people in the area, and I'm MISERABLE ABOUT IT. With...

    24 Years Ago Today, Glenallen Hill Hit a Home Run ONTO a Wrigley Field Rooftop

    In 2015, Kyle Schwarber hit a monster home run onto the top of the right field scoreboard at Wrigley Field, where it stayed for the remainder of the postseason. Watching the game live, I remember thinking "Dang, he got all...

    Cade Horton Had His First Really Rough Night

    Usually, I like to use this space to celebrate a great game from a top Cubs prospect, but sometimes, it's important to note when the other thing happens. Last night, Cade Horton had his very first really bad start. He...

    Enhanced Box Score: Cubs 7, Pirates 2 – May 10, 2024

    Although I'm sure Craig Counsell would've preferred not to have to use Ben Brown today, just in case Jameson Taillon can't go on Sunday. But *if* you were going to have to use Brown today, that was an absolute best-case...

    Pre-Gamin’: Cubs at Pirates (5:40 CT) – Lineups, Broadcast Info, Game Thread

    Brief Delay: https://twitter.com/Pirates/status/1789062764675150018 CUBS LINEUP — In case you missed the good news/bad news report, Seiya Suzuki is BACK, but Dansby Swanson is on the injured list. The Cubs simply cannot catch an injury break this season, it's really wild....

    Latest News

    Hurricanes vs. Rangers NHL Playoffs Second Round Game 5 Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Monday, May 13, 2024

    The Carolina Hurricanes are slight favorites (-118) versus the New York Rangers (-102) on Monday at 7:00 PM ET, at Madison Square Garden.Watch the NHL on Fubo!Hurricanes vs. Rangers Favorite, Moneyline, TotalFavorite: Hurricanes (-118)Underdog: Rangers (-102)Total: 5.5Best Hurricanes vs. Rangers...

    World Championships Updates, Great Stars, Canes Survive, Still No Q, and Other Blackhawks Mother’s Day Bullets

    Happy Mother's Day to all of the wonderful moms out there. My sons are incredibly fortunate to have a great mom and two wonderful grandmas still in their lives. We hear Blackhawks players talk about hot much they appreciate their...

    Horrible History, Morel’s Knee, Almonte’s Shoulder, Hoerner, Wesneski, Hendricks, Mervis, and Other Cubs Bullets

    Happy Mother's Day to the mothers among you, and to the mothers in my life! I'll be doing some extra family stuff today, so I'm gonna cruise through these Bullets ... Up front, because this was certainly the thing most...

    Mariners vs. Athletics Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 12, 2024

    Two of the league's top power hitters meet Sunday when the Seattle Mariners (21-19) and Oakland Athletics (19-22) take the field at 4:10 PM ET, live on NBCS-CA. Caleb Raleigh has 10 home runs for the Mariners (-244 favorites on...

    Royals vs. Angels Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 12, 2024

    Jo Adell leads the Los Angeles Angels (15-25) into Sunday's matchup with the Kansas City Royals (24-17) on a two-game homer streak. His Angels are underdogs for the contest, however, with bookmakers naming the Royals as -136 moneyline favorites. The...

    Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 12, 2024

    The Los Angeles Dodgers (27-14) visit the San Diego Padres (21-21) at 4:10 PM ET Sunday in a meeting between two of the league's best hitters. Shohei Ohtani is batting .352 this year (second in the league) for the favored...

    Giants vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 12, 2024

    The San Francisco Giants (18-23) host the Cincinnati Reds (17-22) Sunday to close out a three-game series. The Giants are favored (-131) to win the rubber match, which starts at 4:05 PM ET from Oracle Park.Kyle Harrison will get the...

    Pascal Siakam Player Props: Three-Pointer Props and Odds vs. the Knicks – Conference Semifinals Game 4, Sunday, May 12, 2024

    At 3:30 PM ET on Sunday, in Game 4 of the second round of the NBA playoffs, it'll be the Indiana Pacers against the New York Knicks -- with Pascal Siakam needing to connect only once from beyond the arc...

    Tyrese Haliburton Player Props: Three-Pointer Props and Odds vs. the Knicks – Conference Semifinals Game 4, Sunday, May 12, 2024

    The Indiana Pacers meet the New York Knicks on Sunday at 3:30 PM ET in Game 4 of the second round of the NBA playoffs, and if the Pacers' Tyrese Haliburton makes four 3-pointers, he'll beat his prop.Tyrese Haliburton's Three-Pointer...

    Myles Turner Player Props: Three-Pointer Props and Odds vs. the Knicks – Conference Semifinals Game 4, Sunday, May 12, 2024

    To beat his 3-point prop, Myles Turner must make two from beyond the arc on Sunday, when his Indiana Pacers play the New York Knicks in Game 4 of the second round of the NBA playoffs, beginning at 3:30 PM...

    more cubs news

    Latest News