Braves vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 14, 2024

The Atlanta Braves (8-5) and the Miami Marlins (3-12) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET. The Braves are -148 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Marlins (+124).

Atlanta’s Charlie Morton and Miami’s Jesus Luzardo have been named the starters for this contest.

Braves vs. Marlins Odds

  • Braves odds to win: -148
  • Marlins odds to win: +124
  • Spread: Braves -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Sunday, April 14, 2024
  • Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • TV: BSSO
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    Who Will Win Braves vs. Marlins?

    Braves and Marlins Betting Trends

    The Braves have an 8-5 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 61.5% of those games).

    In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -148 or shorter, Atlanta has gone 6-5 (54.5%).

    The Marlins have been underdogs in eight games this season and won three (37.5%) of those contests.

    Miami has a record of 2-3 when it’s set as an underdog of +124 or more by sportsbooks this season.

    In the 13 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Braves, they have combined with opponents to go over the total nine times (9-3-1).

    The Marlins and their opponents have gone over the total this season in nine of their 15 opportunities.

    Braves Stats & Insights

    The Braves score the sixth-most runs in baseball (82 total, 6.3 per game).

    Atlanta averages 1.2 home runs per game to rank 12th in MLB play with 15 total home runs .

    The Braves lead the majors with a .299 batting average.

    Atlanta strikes out 8.5 times per game, the sixth-fewest mark in MLB.

    The Braves pitching staff ranks 24th in MLB with a collective eight strikeouts per nine innings.

    Atlanta has a 4.74 team ERA that ranks 23rd among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Marlins Stats & Insights

    The Marlins have scored the 24th-most runs in the league this season with 53 (3.5 per game).

    Miami ranks 27th in Major League Baseball with just 11 home runs as a team.

    The Marlins have a team batting average of just .206 this season, which ranks 26th among MLB teams.

    Miami ranks 15th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 7.9 Ks per contest.

    The Marlins strike out 8.3 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 23rd in MLB.

    Miami has the 26th-ranked ERA (4.87) in the majors this season.

    Braves Key Players to Watch

    Morton (1-0) gets the starting nod for the Braves, his third of the season.

    Marcell Ozuna is batting .352 this season with a team-high six home runs and 17 RBI.

    Ozzie Albies has 18 hits and an OBP of .383 to go with a slugging percentage of .527 this season.

    Matt Olson has 14 hits this season and a slash line of .259/.333/.593.

    Austin Riley has 15 hits and an OBP of .333 to go with a slugging percentage of .509 this season.

    Marlins Key Players to Watch

    Luzardo (0-2) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his fourth start of the season.

    Jake Burger leads the Marlins in home runs (three) and runs batted in (15).

    Jazz Chisholm is batting .204 with two doubles, two home runs and nine walks.

    Luis Arraez is batting .259 with two doubles, a triple and seven walks.

    Josh Bell is hitting .200 with a double, two home runs and eight walks.

    Braves and Marlins Injuries

    Braves: Sean Murphy: 10 Day IL (Oblique strain), Angel Perdomo: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Spencer Strider: 15 Day IL (Right elbow strain)

    Marlins: Xavier Edwards: 10 Day IL (Foot), Josh Simpson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edward Cabrera: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Braxton Garrett: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Neck), Sandy Alcantara: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eury Pérez: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Braves vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 6, Marlins 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Braves vs. Marlins

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