Red Sox vs. Guardians Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, April 15, 2024

A pair of surging power hitters meet Monday when Triston Casas — with his two-game homer streak in tow — and the Boston Red Sox (9-7) take on Estevan Florial (home runs in two straight) and the Cleveland Guardians (10-5). The Red Sox are favorites (-140) for the contest, which starts at 11:10 AM ET, live from Fenway Park and broadcast on BSGL.

Kutter Crawford takes the mound for Boston while Xzavion Curry is Cleveland’s starter for the contest.

Red Sox vs. Guardians Odds

  • Red Sox odds to win: -140
  • Guardians odds to win: +117
  • Spread: Red Sox -1.5
  • Total: 9.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Monday, April 15, 2024
  • Time: 11:10 AM ET
  • TV: BSGL
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    Who Will Win Red Sox vs. Guardians?

    Red Sox and Guardians Betting Trends

    The Red Sox have won 75% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (6-2).

    Boston has played in three games as moneyline favorites with odds of -140 or shorter and won every time.

    The Guardians have entered the game as underdogs six times this season and won five of those games.

    Cleveland is undefeated in three games this season when it’s the underdog by +117 or more on the moneyline.

    The Red Sox have combined with opponents to go over the total seven times this season for a 7-8-1 record against the over/under.

    Games involving the Guardians have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in nine of 15 chances this season.

    Red Sox Stats & Insights

    The Red Sox are the 15th-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.5 runs per game (72 total).

    Boston averages 1.3 home runs per game to rank sixth in baseball with 20 total home runs.

    The Red Sox rank 22nd in MLB with a .233 batting average.

    Boston’s batters strike out 10.2 times per game, the 27th-most in MLB.

    The Red Sox pitching staff is third in MLB with a collective 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Boston’s 2.54 team ERA ranks first among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Guardians Stats & Insights

    The Guardians have scored the 12th-most runs in the league this season with 81 (5.4 per game).

    Cleveland ranks 14th in Major League Baseball with 16 home runs.

    The Guardians have a team batting average of .252 this season, which ranks ninth among MLB teams.

    Cleveland ranks fifth in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of eight Ks per contest.

    The Guardians strike out 9.1 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, ninth-best in MLB.

    Cleveland has the fifth-best ERA (3.20) in the majors this season.

    Red Sox Key Players to Watch

    Crawford (0-0) takes the mound for the Red Sox in his fourth start of the season. He’s put together a 0.57 ERA in 15 2/3 innings pitched, with 18 strikeouts.

    Tyler O’Neill leads Boston in batting average (.304), home runs (seven) and runs batted in (eight) this season.

    Casas leads Boston in runs batted in with eight while batting .259 with four homers.

    Jarren Duran has collected 20 base hits, an OBP of .365 and a slugging percentage of .394 this season.

    Masataka Yoshida leads Boston in runs batted in (eight) this season. He’s batting .255 while slugging .345.

    Guardians Key Players to Watch

    Curry gets the nod for the Guardians and will make his first start of the season.

    Josh Naylor has accumulated a team-best four home runs and 12 runs batted in.

    Jose Ramirez’s 12 runs batted in are a team-high mark.

    Steven Kwan has accumulated a team-high batting average of .368.

    Andres Gimenez has five doubles, a triple and three walks while hitting .293.

    Red Sox and Guardians Injuries

    Red Sox: Romy Gonzalez: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Rob Refsnyder: 10 Day IL (Toe), Vaughn Grissom: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Trevor Story: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Nick Pivetta: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Bryan Mata: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Isaiah Campbell: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Lucas Giolito: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chris Murphy: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Liam Hendriks: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Devers: day-to-day (Shoulder), Enmanuel Valdez: day-to-day (Thumb)

    Guardians: Angel Martinez: 10 Day IL (Foot), Sam Hentges: 15 Day IL (Finger), Xzavion Curry: 15 Day IL (Illness), Shane Bieber: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Ben Lively: 15 Day IL (Illness), Gavin Williams: 15 Day IL (Elbow), James Karinchak: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Trevor Stephan: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Red Sox vs. Guardians Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Guardians 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Red Sox vs. Guardians

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