Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 10, 2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (26-12) hope to avoid an upset as -199 favorites when they take on Bryan De La Cruz (with homers in two straight contests) and the Miami Marlins (10-29). First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET Friday, live from LoanDepot park and airing on BSFL.

Philadelphia’s Ranger Suarez and Miami’s Trevor Rogers have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Marlins Odds

  • Phillies odds to win: -199
  • Marlins odds to win: +167
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 7.5 runs
  • Phillies vs. Marlins Promo Codes

    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, May 10, 2024
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV: BSFL
  • Who Will Win Phillies vs. Marlins?

    Phillies and Marlins Betting Trends

    The Phillies have won 22 of the 31 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (71%).

    Philadelphia has won all eight games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -199 or shorter.

    This season, the Marlins have been the underdog 25 times and won seven, or 28%, of those games.

    This season, Miami has won two of its 11 games, or 18.2%, when it’s the underdog by at least +167 on the moneyline.

    The Phillies have played in 38 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 17 times (17-19-2).

    The Marlins’ games have gone over the total in 22 of their 39 chances.

    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies score the fourth-most runs in baseball (191 total, five per game).

    Philadelphia is sixth-best in MLB action with 46 total home runs.

    The Phillies’ .258 batting average is third-best in the majors.

    Philadelphia strikes out 8.7 times per game to rank 18th in the majors.

    The pitching staff for the Phillies has a collective 9.5 K/9, the second-best in the majors.

    Philadelphia’s 3.26 team ERA ranks fourth among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Marlins Stats & Insights

    The Marlins have scored 143 runs (3.7 per game) this season, which ranks 24th in MLB.

    Miami’s 31 home runs rank 24th in Major League Baseball.

    The Marlins have a team batting average of .225 this season, which ranks 24th among MLB teams.

    Miami is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking sixth with an average of 7.4 strikeouts per game.

    The Marlins strike out 8.6 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 12th in MLB.

    Miami has pitched to a 5.21 ERA this season, which ranks 29th in baseball.

    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    Suarez (6-0) takes the mound for the Phillies in his eighth start of the season. He’s put together a 1.72 ERA in 47 2/3 innings pitched, with 46 strikeouts.

    Alec Bohm leads Philadelphia in runs batted in with 32 while batting .346, which is also best on the team.

    Bryce Harper is slugging .525 this season, with a team-best nine homers while driving in 28 runs.

    Kyle Schwarber leads Philadelphia in home runs with nine. He’s driven in 23 runs and is slugging .401.

    Bryson Stott has collected 27 hits this season and has an OBP of .344. He’s slugging .389 on the year.

    Marlins Key Players to Watch

    Rogers (0-5) will take the mound for the Marlins, his eighth start of the season.

    De La Cruz has a team-high batting average of .269, while pacing the Marlins in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (21).

    Jazz Chisholm is batting .236 with six doubles, a triple, five home runs and 16 walks.

    Josh Bell is hitting .201 with three doubles, four home runs and 14 walks.

    Nick Gordon is batting .198 with three doubles, five home runs and four walks.

    Phillies and Marlins Injuries

    Phillies: Trea Turner: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Rafael Marchan: 10 Day IL (Back), Yunior Marte: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Dylan Covey: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Ortiz: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Michael Rucker: 15 Day IL (Hand)

    Marlins: Avisaíl García: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Edward Cabrera: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Jesús Luzardo: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Andrew Jacob Puk: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Neck), Bryan Hoeing: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Sandy Alcantara: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Josh Simpson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eury Pérez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Xavier Edwards: 60 Day IL (Foot)

    Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 7, Marlins 6
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Phillies vs. Marlins

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