The Minnesota Timberwolves are 6-point favorites in Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals against the Dallas Mavericks at Target Center on Friday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The Mavericks lead the series 1-0. The matchup has an over/under set at 207 points.
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Odds
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Timberwolves and Mavericks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season they were favored by 6 points or more, the Timberwolves have a 17-20 record against the spread.
When they have played as at least 6-point underdogs this year, the Mavericks are 2-5 against the spread.
These teams average 230.9 points per game combined, 23.9 more than the total of 207.
Minnesota and Dallas have seen its opponents average a combined 15.1 more points per game than the point total of 207 set for this outing.
The average total the Timberwolves have had set in matchups this year is 12.5 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average over/under in Dallas’ games this year is 26.5 more points than the point total of 207 in this outing.
Minnesota has a 40-40-2 record against the spread this season.
The Mavericks have a 48-34-0 record against the spread this season.
Timberwolves Stats & Insights
The Timberwolves are outscoring opponents by 6.5 points per game with a +529 scoring differential overall. They put up 113 points per game (18th in the NBA) and allow 106.5 per contest (first in the league).
The Timberwolves rank 15th in the league at 43.6 rebounds per game. That’s 2.2 more than the 41.4 their opponents average.
Minnesota knocks down 1.2 more threes per contest than the opposition, 12.6 (15th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.4.
The Timberwolves average 116.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (16th in the league), and give up 109.9 points per 100 possessions (first in the NBA).
The Timberwolves have been worse offensively at home, where they average 112 points per game, compared to on the road, where they score 114 per game. Defensively, they are much better in home games, where they surrender 103.7 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they allow opponents to score 109.3 per game.
Mavericks Stats & Insights
The Mavericks put up 117.9 points per game (seventh in league) while giving up 115.6 per outing (20th in NBA). They have a +181 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 2.3 points per game.
Dallas comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.2 boards. It records 42.9 rebounds per game (21st in league) compared to its opponents’ 45.1.
The Mavericks connect on 14.6 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league), 1.5 more than their opponents.
The Mavericks rank 10th in the league averaging 118.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 17th, allowing 116.2 points per 100 possessions.
At home, Dallas scores 118.7 points per game. On the road, it averages 117.
Timberwolves Key Players to Watch
Anthony Edwards is a key contributor on the scoresheet for the Timberwolves, tallying 25.9 points per game to go with 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists.
Mike Conley is averaging 11.4 points, 5.9 assists and 2.9 rebounds per game, while Rudy Gobert adds 14.0 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 rebounds per contest.
The Timberwolves get 2.4 three-pointers per game out of Edwards.
Edwards averages 1.3 steals per game, while Gobert swats 2.1 shots per contest.
Mavericks Key Players to Watch
Luka Doncic has shown out this season to lead active Mavericks players in points (33.9 per game), rebounds (9.2 per game), and assists (9.8 per game).
Doncic knocks down 4.1 threes per game.
The Mavericks’ defensive efforts get a lift from Doncic (1.4 steals per game) and Daniel Gafford (2.1 blocks per game).
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction
Over (207)
Timberwolves 116 – Mavericks 108