NEWSLETTER
The Minnesota Timberwolves are slight 1.5-point underdogs for a decisive Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Tuesday, tipping off at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The Mavericks are up 3-0 in the series. The matchup’s point total is set at 211.5.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds
How to Bet on Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Mavericks vs. Timberwolves?
Mavericks and Timberwolves Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season they were favored by 1.5 points or more, the Mavericks have a 29-17 record against the spread.
When they have played as at least 1.5-point underdogs this season, the Timberwolves are 10-7 against the spread.
These two teams average 230.9 points per game combined, 19.4 more than the over/under of 211.5.
Dallas and Minnesota have seen its opponents average a combined 10.6 more points per game than the over/under of 211.5 set in this matchup.
The Mavericks’ average total in outings this year has been 233.5, 22.0 points higher than the total in this particular game.
The average point total for Minnesota this season is 8.0 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Dallas’ ATS record is 48-34-0 this season.
The Timberwolves are 40-40-2 against the spread this year.
Mavericks Stats & Insights
The Mavericks average 117.9 points per game (seventh in the league) while giving up 115.6 per outing (20th in the NBA). They have a +181 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 2.3 points per game.
The Mavericks rank 21st in the NBA at 42.9 rebounds per game. That’s 2.2 fewer than the 45.1 their opponents average.
Dallas connects on 14.6 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league) at a 36.9% rate (13th in the NBA), compared to the 13.1 per game its opponents make at a 36.8% rate.
The Mavericks rank 10th in the league by averaging 118.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 17th in the NBA, allowing 116.2 points per 100 possessions.
The Mavericks’ offense has been much better at home (118.7 PPG) compared to road games (117.0 PPG). Likewise, their defense has been better when playing at home (115.0 PPG allowed) when compared to away games (116.2 PPG allowed).
Timberwolves Stats & Insights
The Timberwolves’ +529 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 113.0 points per game (18th in NBA) while allowing 106.5 per contest (first in league).
Minnesota comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 2.2 boards. It collects 43.6 rebounds per game (15th in league) compared to its opponents’ 41.4.
The Timberwolves knock down 12.6 three-pointers per game (15th in the league), 1.2 more than their opponents.
The Timberwolves’ 116.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 16th in the NBA, and the 109.9 points they concede per 100 possessions rank first in the league.
In 2023-24 Minnesota is scoring 2.0 fewer points per game at home (112.0) than on the road (114.0).
Mavericks Key Players to Watch
The Mavericks get 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists from Luka Doncic.
The Mavericks get 4.1 three-pointers per game out of Doncic.
Doncic averages 1.4 steals per game, while Daniel Gafford has 2.1 blocks per contest.
Timberwolves Key Players to Watch
Anthony Edwards tallies 25.9 points per game. He also contributes 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game this season.
Rudy Gobert has per-game averages of 14.0 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 rebounds this season.
Edwards makes 2.4 treys per game.
The Timberwolves’ defensive effort gets a lift from Edwards’ 1.3 steals and Gobert’s 2.1 blocks per game.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Prediction
Over (211.5)
Timberwolves 113 – Mavericks 112
