Padres vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, May 27, 2024

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The Miami Marlins (19-35) enter Monday’s matchup with the San Diego Padres (28-28) following their 2-1 series victory over the Diamondbacks. The Padres, coming off of a series loss against the Yankees, are listed as -192 favorites for Game 1. The series begins at PETCO Park, starting at 6:40 PM ET on SDPA.

Michael King will get the ball for San Diego while Miami will counter with Trevor Rogers.

Padres vs. Marlins Odds

  • Padres odds to win: -192
  • Marlins odds to win: +160
  • Spread: Padres -1.5
  • Total: 7.5 runs
  • Padres vs. Marlins Promo Codes

    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Monday, May 27, 2024
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • TV: SDPA
  • Who Will Win Padres vs. Marlins?

    Padres and Marlins Betting Trends

    The Padres have been favored on the moneyline 32 total times this season. They’ve finished 16-16 in those games.

    San Diego has played three times as moneyline favorites with odds of -192 or shorter, and fell in each game.

    This season, the Marlins have been the underdog 40 times and won 16, or 40%, of those games.

    Miami has entered 14 games this season as the underdog by +160 or more and is 4-10 in those contests.

    The Padres have played in 56 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 29 times (29-26-1).

    The Marlins’ games have gone over the total in 30 of their 54 chances.

    Padres Stats & Insights

    The Padres are the eighth-highest scoring team in the majors, averaging 4.4 runs per game (248 total).

    San Diego ranks 17th in baseball with 53 total home runs.

    The Padres are fourth in the majors with a .255 batting average.

    San Diego strikes out 7.3 times per game, the fifth-best mark in MLB.

    The pitching staff for the Padres has a collective 9.1 K/9, the third-best in MLB.

    San Diego’s 3.96 team ERA ranks 14th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Marlins Stats & Insights

    The Marlins have scored 201 runs (just 3.7 per game) this season, which ranks 28th in MLB.

    Miami ranks 27th in Major League Baseball with just 43 home runs as a team.

    The Marlins have a team batting average of .234 this season, which ranks 21st among MLB teams.

    Miami is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking sixth with an average of 7.6 strikeouts per game.

    The Marlins average the 15th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.5) in the majors this season.

    Miami pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.66 ERA this year, which ranks 28th in MLB.

    Padres Key Players to Watch

    King makes the start for the Padres, his 11th of the season. He is 4-4 with a 4.28 ERA and 67 strikeouts through 61 2/3 innings pitched.

    Jurickson Profar has been key for San Diego with seven home runs, 32 RBI and a batting average of .319 this season.

    Luis Arraez is batting .335 to lead San Diego this season.

    Jake Cronenworth leads San Diego in RBI with 34 while batting .270 with eight home runs.

    Fernando Tatis Jr.’s nine home runs are most among San Diego batters. He’s driven in 28 runs this season while slugging .415.

    Marlins Key Players to Watch

    The Marlins will hand the ball to Rogers (1-6) for his 11th start of the season.

    Jazz Chisholm is hitting .260 with 10 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 20 walks.

    Bryan De La Cruz has hit nine home runs while hitting .262. Both are team-highs.

    Josh Bell paces the Marlins with 27 runs batted in.

    Nick Gordon has five doubles, five home runs and five walks while batting .233.

    Padres and Marlins Injuries

    Padres: Xander Bogaerts: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Tucupita Marcano: 10 Day IL (Knee), Glenn Otto: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Patiño: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Marlins: Avisaíl García: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Edward Cabrera: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Bryan Hoeing: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Sandy Alcantara: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Josh Simpson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eury Pérez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), JT Chargois: 60 Day IL (Neck)

    Padres vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Padres vs. Marlins

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