Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 21, 2024

On Thursday, the Los Angeles Dodgers are taking on the San Diego Padres at Gocheok Sky Dome in Seoul, South Korea, with the first pitch happening at 6:05 AM ET.

Los Angeles’ Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the start, and he’ll go against San Diego’s Joe Musgrove.

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds

  • Dodgers odds to win: -197
  • Padres odds to win: +165
  • Spread: Dodgers -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, March 21, 2024
  • Time: 6:05 AM ET
  • TV: SDPA
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    Who Will Win Dodgers vs. Padres?

    Dodgers and Padres Betting Trends (2023)

    The Dodgers won 86 of the 139 games they were the moneyline favorite last season (61.9%).

    Los Angeles had a record of 26-15 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -197 or shorter last year (63.4%).

    The Padres won 13, or 34.2%, of the 38 games they played as underdogs last season.

    San Diego did not enter a game last season with longer moneyline odds than +165.

    The Dodgers played in 163 games with a set over/under, and combined with their opponents to go over the total 88 times (88-67-8).

    The Padres and their opponents hit the over in 66 of their 162 games with a total last season.

    Dodgers Stats & Insights (2023)

    Last season the Dodgers scored the second-most runs in baseball (906 total, 5.6 per game).

    Los Angeles averaged 1.5 home runs per game to rank second in baseball with 249 total home runs last season.

    The Dodgers had the seventh-best batting average in the big leagues (.257).

    The team struck out 8.4 times per game, the No. 11 mark in the majors.

    The pitching staff for the Dodgers had a collective 8.6 K/9 last season, which ranked 17th in the majors.

    Los Angeles had the 13th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.06).

    Padres Stats & Insights (2023)

    The Padres ranked 13th in the majors with 752 total runs scored last season.

    San Diego’s 205 home runs ranked 13th in Major League Baseball.

    The Padres’ .244 batting average ranked 19th in the majors last season.

    San Diego ranked eighth in MLB in strikeouts per game at 8.1 whiffs per contest.

    The Padres had a 9.1 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, seventh-best in baseball.

    San Diego pitchers had a combined ERA of 3.75 last year, third-best in baseball.

    Dodgers Key Players to Watch (2023)

    Yamamoto starts for the first time this season for the Dodgers.

    Mookie Betts finished with a .307 average and 107 RBI last season.

    Freddie Freeman posted a .331 average with 102 RBI.

    Shohei Ohtani finished with a .304 batting average last season and 44 home runs.

    Max Muncy collected 102 hits, posted an OBP of .333 and a .475 SLG.

    Padres Key Players to Watch (2023)

    Musgrove has been named the starter for the Padres and will make his first start this season.

    Xander Bogaerts had a batting average of .285 with 170 total hits last season.

    Fernando Tatis Jr. had 33 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 53 walks while hitting .257.

    Manny Machado racked up 30 home runs and had 91 runs batted in last season.

    Ha-Seong Kim had 23 doubles, 17 home runs and 75 walks while hitting .260.

    Dodgers and Padres Injuries

    Dodgers: Brusdar Graterol: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Emmet Sheehan: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Walker Buehler: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Blake Treinen: 15 Day IL (Lung), Clayton Kershaw: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tony Gonsolin: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Dustin May: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Padres: Tucupita Marcano: 10 Day IL (Knee), Glenn Otto: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Patiño: 15 Day IL (Elbow)

    Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Dodgers 5, Padres 2
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Dodgers vs. Padres

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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