Rangers vs. Cubs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 28, 2024

The Texas Rangers start their season as home favorites (-125) in a matchup with the Chicago Cubs on Thursday at 7:35 PM ET, live on ESPN from Globe Life Field.

Nathan Eovaldi will get the ball for Texas while Chicago will counter with Justin Steele.

Rangers vs. Cubs Odds

  • Rangers odds to win: -125
  • Cubs odds to win: +104
  • Spread: Rangers -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, March 28, 2024
  • Time: 7:35 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
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    Who Will Win Rangers vs. Cubs?

    Rangers and Cubs Betting Trends (2023)

    The Rangers were the moneyline favorite 116 total times last season. They went 68-48 in those games.

    Texas had a record of 58-38 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -125 or shorter last year (60.4%).

    Last season, the Cubs won 29 out of the 68 games, or 42.6%, in which they were the underdog.

    Chicago had a record of 21-26, a 44.7% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +104 or more by bookmakers last season.

    The Rangers played in 179 games with a set over/under, and combined with their opponents to go over the total 94 times (94-77-8).

    Games involving the Cubs went over the total set by sportsbooks in 79 of 162 chances last season.

    Rangers Stats & Insights (2023)

    Last season the Rangers scored the third-most runs in baseball (881 total, 5.4 per game).

    Texas averaged 1.4 home runs per game to rank third in baseball with 233 total home runs last season.

    The Rangers’ .263 batting average was second-best in the majors.

    The team struck out 8.7 times per game, the No. 17 average in MLB.

    The 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Rangers pitching staff last season ranked 22nd in MLB.

    Texas had a 4.29 team ERA that ranked 18th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Cubs Stats & Insights (2023)

    The Cubs scored 819 runs last season, which ranked sixth in MLB.

    Chicago ranked 15th in Major League Baseball with 196 home runs.

    The Cubs had a team batting average of .254 last season, which ranked 11th among MLB teams.

    Chicago ranked 14th with an average of 8.6 strikeouts per game.

    The Cubs had an 8.6 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, which ranked 17th in the majors.

    Chicago had the 14th-ranked ERA (4.09) in the majors last season.

    Rangers Key Players to Watch (2023)

    Eovaldi starts for the first time this season for the Rangers.

    Marcus Semien finished last season with 29 home runs, 100 RBI and a batting average of .276.

    Corey Seager posted a .327 average with 33 homers and 96 RBI.

    Adolis Garcia slugged 39 home runs and collected 107 RBI last season while batting .245.

    Jonah Heim collected 118 hits, posted an OBP of .317 and a .438 SLG.

    Cubs Key Players to Watch (2023)

    Steele has been named the starter for the Cubs and will make his first start this season.

    Cody Bellinger hit 26 home runs and had 97 runs batted in last season, while accumulating a batting average of .307.

    Nico Hoerner had 27 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 49 walks while hitting .283.

    Ian Happ hit .248 a season ago with 35 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 99 walks.

    Seiya Suzuki had 31 doubles, six triples, 20 home runs and 59 walks while hitting .285.

    Rangers and Cubs Injuries

    Rangers: Nate Lowe: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Max Scherzer: 15 Day IL (Back), Michael Lorenzen: 15 Day IL (Neck), Jonathan Hernández: 15 Day IL (Lat), Jacob deGrom: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tyler Mahle: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Carson Coleman: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Cubs: Patrick Wisdom: 10 Day IL (Back), Jameson Taillon: 15 Day IL (Back), Caleb Kilian: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Rangers vs. Cubs Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Rangers 6, Cubs 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Rangers vs. Cubs

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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