Braves vs. Phillies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 29, 2024

The Atlanta Braves look to start their season with a win as road favorites (-130) in a season-opening matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch is on Friday at 3:05 PM ET on BSSO, live from Citizens Bank Park.

Spencer Strider will get the ball for Atlanta while Philadelphia will counter with Zack Wheeler.

Braves vs. Phillies Odds

  • Braves odds to win: -130
  • Phillies odds to win: +108
  • Spread: Braves -1.5
  • Total: 7 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, March 29, 2024
  • Time: 3:05 PM ET
  • TV: BSSO
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    Who Will Win Braves vs. Phillies?

    Braves and Phillies Betting Trends (2023)

    The Braves won 64.2% of the games last season they were favored on the moneyline (97-54).

    Atlanta had a record of 89-42 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -130 or shorter last year (67.9%).

    The Phillies won 26, or 48.1%, of the 54 games they played as underdogs last season.

    Philadelphia had a record of 14-18, a 43.8% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +108 or more by oddsmakers last season.

    The Braves combined with their opponents to go over the total 94 times last season for a 94-68-4 record against the over/under.

    Games involving the Phillies went over the total set by bookmakers in 80 of 175 chances last season.

    Braves Stats & Insights (2023)

    Last season the Braves scored the most runs in baseball (947 total, 5.8 per game).

    The Atlanta Braves averaged 1.9 home runs per game last season and hit an MLB-leading 307 home runs in total.

    The Braves had a league-high .276 batting average.

    The club struck out 8 times per game, the sixth-fewest mark in baseball.

    The Braves pitching staff was second in MLB last season with a collective 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Atlanta had the 15th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.14).

    Phillies Stats & Insights (2023)

    The Phillies scored 796 runs last season, which ranked eighth in MLB.

    Philadelphia hit 220 homers last season, which ranked eighth in the majors.

    The Phillies had a team batting average of .256 last season, which ranked eighth among MLB teams.

    Philadelphia had the 23rd-ranked strikeouts per game rate (9.1) among MLB offenses.

    The Phillies had a 9.1 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, seventh-best in baseball.

    Philadelphia pitchers had a combined ERA of 4.03 last year, which ranked 12th in MLB.

    Braves Key Players to Watch (2023)

    Strider will start for the Braves, his first this season.

    Ronald Acuna Jr. finished last season with a .337 batting average while adding 41 home runs and 106 RBI.

    Matt Olson slugged 54 homers and finished with 139 RBI.

    Ozzie Albies finished with a .280 average, 33 home runs and 109 RBI last season.

    Austin Riley collected 179 hits, posted an OBP of .345 and a .516 SLG.

    Phillies Key Players to Watch (2023)

    Wheeler gets the nod for the Phillies and will make his first start of the season.

    Kyle Schwarber launched 47 home runs while slugging .474 last season.

    Trea Turner hit .266 with 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks.

    Alec Bohm hit .274 a season ago with 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks.

    Bryce Harper hit .293 a season ago with 134 hits.

    Braves and Phillies Injuries

    Braves: Angel Perdomo: 15 Day IL (Elbow)

    Phillies: Rafael Marchan: 10 Day IL (Back), Orion Kerkering: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Taijuan Walker: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Dylan Covey: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Michael Rucker: 15 Day IL (Hand)

    Braves vs. Phillies Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Braves 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
  • How to Bet on Braves vs. Phillies

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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