Mets vs. Brewers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 29, 2024

The New York Mets open their season as -117 favorites in a home matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday at 1:40 PM ET, live on SNY.

New York’s Jose Quintana and Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Brewers Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -117
  • Brewers odds to win: -102
  • Spread: Brewers -1.5
  • Total: 7 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, March 29, 2024
  • Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • TV: SNY
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    Who Will Win Mets vs. Brewers?

    Mets and Brewers Betting Trends (2023)

    The Mets won 50 of the 91 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (54.9%).

    In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -117 or shorter last year, New York had a record of 41-37 (52.6%).

    The Brewers were underdogs in 71 games last season and won 38 (53.5%) of those contests.

    Last season, Milwaukee won 29 of its 61 games, or 47.5%, when it was the underdog by at least -102 on the moneyline.

    The Mets played in 161 games with an over/under set, and combined with their opponents to go over the total 67 times (67-84-10).

    Games involving the Brewers went over the total set by sportsbooks in 73 of 164 chances last season.

    Mets Stats & Insights (2023)

    Last season the Mets scored the 20th-most runs in baseball (717 total, 4.4 per game).

    New York ranked 10th-best in baseball last season with 215 total home runs.

    The Mets had the 25th-ranked batting average in the majors (.238).

    The club struck out 8.2 times per game, the 10th-fewest mark in baseball.

    The pitching staff for the Mets had a collective 8.9 K/9 last season, which ranked 14th in the majors.

    New York had the 19th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.30).

    Brewers Stats & Insights (2023)

    The Brewers scored the 17th-most runs in the league last season with 728 (4.5 per game).

    Milwaukee hit 165 homers last season, which ranked 24th in the majors.

    The Brewers had a team batting average of .240 last season, which ranked 23rd among MLB teams.

    Milwaukee ranked 16th with an average of 8.7 strikeouts per game.

    The Brewers had an 8.9 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, which ranked 14th in the majors.

    Milwaukee pitchers had the lowest combined ERA in the majors at 3.71.

    Mets Key Players to Watch (2023)

    Quintana starts for the first time this season for the Mets.

    Francisco Lindor finished with a .254 average, 31 home runs and 98 RBI last season.

    Pete Alonso slugged 46 homers and finished with 118 RBI.

    Brandon Nimmo finished last season with a .274 batting average while adding 24 home runs and 68 RBI.

    Jeff McNeil hit .270 with an OBP of .333, and a slugging percentage of .378.

    Brewers Key Players to Watch (2023)

    Peralta will make his first start of the season for the Brewers.

    Christian Yelich hit .278 last season with 34 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 78 walks.

    William Contreras hit .289 a season ago with 156 hits.

    Willy Adames accumulated 24 home runs and had 80 runs batted in last season.

    Brice Turang had nine doubles, three triples, six home runs and 38 walks while batting .218.

    Mets and Brewers Injuries

    Mets: Max Kranick: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), Sean Reid-Foley: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Kodai Senga: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), David Peterson: 60 Day IL (Hip), Ronny Mauricio: 60 Day IL (Knee)

    Brewers: Garrett Mitchell: 10 Day IL (Finger), Devin Williams: 15 Day IL (Back), Taylor Clarke: 15 Day IL (Meniscus), Wade Miley: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Brandon Woodruff: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Mets vs. Brewers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Brewers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
  • How to Bet on Mets vs. Brewers

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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