Celtics vs. Trail Blazers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Monday, March 11, 2024

The Portland Trail Blazers (18-45) are big, 12-point underdogs against the Boston Celtics (49-14) at Moda Center on Monday, March 11, 2024. The game begins at 10:30 PM ET on NBCS. The matchup’s point total is set at 220.5.

Celtics vs. Trail Blazers Odds

  • Celtics odds to win: -675
  • Trail Blazers odds to win: +490
  • Spread: Celtics (-12)
  • Total: 220.5
  • How to Bet on Celtics vs. Trail Blazers

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    Game Time and Information

  • When: Monday, March 11, 2024 at 10:30 PM ET
  • Where: Moda Center in Portland, Oregon
  • TV: NBCS
  • Who Will Win Celtics vs. Trail Blazers?

    Celtics and Trail Blazers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    The Celtics are 8-6 against the spread when favored by 12 points or more this season.

    The Trail Blazers have an 11-4 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 12 points or more.

    These two teams average 228.8 points per game combined, 8.3 more than the total of 220.5.

    Boston and Portland have seen its opponents average a combined 5.3 more points per game than the point total of 220.5 set for this matchup.

    The average total the Celtics have had in their matchups this season is 10.1 more points than this particular game’s point total.

    The average total for Portland’s games this season is 3.6 more points than the point total of 220.5 for this outing.

    Boston has a 31-29-3 record against the spread this season.

    The Trail Blazers have gone 30-33-0 ATS this season.

    Celtics Stats & Insights

    The Celtics’ +688 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 10.9 points per game) is a result of scoring 120.7 points per game (fourth in the NBA) while giving up 109.8 per contest (fifth in the league).

    The 47.2 rebounds per game the Celtics average rank first in the NBA, and are 3.6 more than the 43.6 their opponents grab per outing.

    Boston connects on 16.2 three-pointers per game (first in the league) at a 38.5% rate (third-best in the NBA), compared to the 12.9 per game its opponents make at a 34.6% rate.

    The Celtics average 123.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (first in the league), and allow 112.0 points per 100 possessions (second in the NBA).

    The Celtics have scored at a much higher clip in home games than away from home in the 2023-24 season (123.4 at home versus 118.0 on the road), though they have given up fewer points in home games than in road games (108.0 opponent points per home game versus 111.7 on the road).

    Trail Blazers Stats & Insights

    The Trail Blazers have been outscored by 7.9 points per game (posting 108.1 points per game, 28th in league, while allowing 116.0 per outing, 17th in NBA) and have a -497 scoring differential.

    Portland is 25th in the league at 42.0 rebounds per game. That’s 1.9 fewer than the 43.9 its opponents average.

    The Trail Blazers connect on 11.8 three-pointers per game (24th in the league), while their opponents have made 11.6 on average.

    The Trail Blazers’ 110.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 28th in the NBA, and the 118.5 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 22nd in the league.

    At home, Portland scores 109.4 points per game. Away, it averages 106.7.

    Celtics Key Players to Watch

    Jayson Tatum accumulates 26.9 points and 8.5 rebounds per game, with 4.9 assists.

    Derrick White contributes with 4.0 boards and 5.0 assists per game in addition to his 15.1 PPG scoring average.

    Tatum makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Celtics, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.1 per contest.

    Jaylen Brown averages 1.1 steals per game, while White swats 1.2 shots per contest.

    Trail Blazers Key Players to Watch

    Jerami Grant racks up 21.1 points per game. He also adds 3.6 rebounds per outing and 2.8 assists per contest.

    This season, Deandre Ayton has a statline that includes 14.7 points, 1.7 assists and 10.8 rebounds per game.

    Anfernee Simons knocks down 3.4 threes per game.

    Matisse Thybulle is a solid defensive option with 1.8 steals and 0.7 blocks per game.

    Celtics vs. Trail Blazers Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Celtics (- 12)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (220.5)

  • Prediction:
    Celtics 122 – Trail Blazers 105
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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