NEWSLETTER
The Portland Trail Blazers (19-54) will attempt to stop an eight-game losing streak when they visit the Miami Heat (39-33) on Friday, March 29, 2024 at FTX Arena as heavy, 13.5-point underdogs. The contest airs at 8:00 PM ET on BSSU. The over/under for the matchup is 209.
Heat vs. Trail Blazers Odds
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Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Heat vs. Trail Blazers?
Heat and Trail Blazers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Trail Blazers are 7-3 against the spread when an underdog by 13.5 points or more this season.
The Heat and Trail Blazers average 7.9 more points between them than the total of 209 for this game.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 224.7 points per game, 15.7 more than the over/under in this matchup.
The average point total in Heat games this season is 9.2 more points than the over/under of 209 in this matchup.
The average point total for Portland this season is 14.4 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Miami has a 34-36-2 record against the spread this season.
The Trail Blazers are 34-38-1 against the spread this year.
Heat Stats & Insights
The Heat score 109.3 points per game (27th in the NBA) and give up 108.9 (fourth in the league) for a +29 scoring differential overall.
The Heat average 42.1 rebounds per game (25th in the league) compared to the 42.9 of their opponents.
Miami knocks down 12.2 three-pointers per game (19th in the league), 1.1 fewer than its opponents (13.3). It is shooting 36.7% from deep (13th in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 36.1%.
The Heat score 114.4 points per 100 possessions (22nd in the league), while allowing 114.0 points per 100 possessions (ninth in the NBA).
The Heat’s offense has been much better at home (111.6 PPG) compared to their play on the road (107.1 PPG). However, their defense has been much worse at home (111.8 PPG allowed) compared to road games (106.2 PPG allowed).
Trail Blazers Stats & Insights
The Trail Blazers have a -605 scoring differential, falling short by 8.2 points per game. They’re putting up 107.6 points per game, 28th in the league, and are allowing 115.8 per outing to rank 17th in the NBA.
Portland falls short in the rebound battle by an average of 1.9 boards. It grabs 41.9 rebounds per game (26th in league) compared to its opponents’ 43.8.
The Trail Blazers make 11.7 three-pointers per game (24th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 11.7. They shoot 35.3% from deep, and their opponents shoot 35.3%.
The Trail Blazers rank 28th in the NBA with 110.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 23rd defensively with 118.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
Portland is scoring more points at home (108.7 per game) than away (106.3).
Heat Key Players to Watch
Bam Adebayo averages 19.7 points, 10.6 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game.
Jimmy Butler contributes with 5.4 boards and 4.8 assists per game in addition to his 21.4 PPG scoring average.
Terry Rozier leads active Heat in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.8 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Butler averages 1.4 takeaways per game, while Adebayo records 1.0 block per contest.
Trail Blazers Key Players to Watch
Jerami Grant puts up 21.0 points per game. He also adds 3.5 rebounds per outing and 2.8 assists per contest.
This season, Deandre Ayton has a statline that includes 15.8 points, 1.6 assists and 11.1 rebounds per game.
Grant knocks down 2.1 threes per game.
The Trail Blazers’ defensive effort gets a lift from Matisse Thybulle (1.8 steals and 0.8 blocks per game).
Heat vs. Trail Blazers Prediction
Over (209)
Heat 117 – Trail Blazers 104
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