The Los Angeles Lakers are slight 3.5-point underdogs for a decisive Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Crypto.com Arena on Saturday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on ABC. The Nuggets are ahead 3-0 in the series. The point total in the matchup is set at 219.5.
Keep reading to find the best bets you can place on Saturday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
How to Bet on Nuggets vs. Lakers
Pick the Lakers (-3.5) to Cover
Against the spread, the Nuggets are 38-42-2 this year.
In the Lakers’ 82 games this year, they have 38 wins against the spread.
The Nuggets have an ATS record of 30-30-2 in their 62 games when favored by 3.5 points or more so far this season.
The Lakers have an ATS record of 9-10 in their 19 games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more this year.
Take the Points Over (219.5)
Nuggets games have gone over 219.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total, 50 times (out of 82) this year.
This season, 65 of the Lakers’ 82 games have had a combined total of more than 219.5 points scored.
These teams average a combined 232.9 points per game, 13.4 more points than the total of 219.5 set for this game.
The Nuggets and the Lakers have seen their opponents average a combined 7.5 more points per game than the point total of 219.5 set in this outing.
The average over/under the Nuggets have had set in games this season is 5.0 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average total in Lakers games this year is 16.0 more points than the point total of 219.5 for this outing.
Back the Nuggets on the Moneyline (-170)
The Nuggets have won in 53, or 73.6%, of the 72 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
The Lakers have been the moneyline underdog 35 total times this season. They’ve finished 15-20 in those games.
This year, the Nuggets have won 47 of 58 games when listed as at least -170 or better on the moneyline.
In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +142 or longer, the Lakers have gone 6-10 (37.5%).
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nuggets have a 63% chance of walking away with the win.
Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Lakers’ implied win probability is 41.3%.
Top Nuggets Props
| Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
| Nikola Jokic |
26.5 |
12.5 |
8.5 |
| Jamal Murray |
24.5 |
4.5 |
7.5 |
| Michael Porter Jr. |
17.5 |
7.5 |
– |
| Aaron Gordon |
14.5 |
7.5 |
3.5 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope |
9.5 |
2.5 |
– |
Top Lakers Props
| Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
| LeBron James |
26.5 |
7.5 |
8.5 |
| Anthony Davis |
26.5 |
13.5 |
2.5 |
| Austin Reaves |
15.5 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
| D’Angelo Russell |
14.5 |
2.5 |
4.5 |
| Rui Hachimura |
10.5 |
4.5 |
– |
Best Nuggets vs. Lakers Promo Codes
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