The Miami Heat are big 10.5-point underdogs heading into Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Boston Celtics at FTX Arena on Monday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET on TNT. The Celtics are on top 2-1 in the series. The over/under is 205 in the matchup.
Dig into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) in Monday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the matchup.
How to Bet on Celtics vs. Heat
Pick the Heat (-10.5) to Cover
The Celtics are 42-36-4 against the spread this season.
In the Heat’s 82 games this year, they have 40 wins against the spread.
The Celtics have been favored by 10.5 points or more 30 times this season and are 17-13 ATS in those matchups.
Take the Points Over (205)
The Celtics and their opponent have combined to score over 205 points, the current matchup’s over/under, in 76 of 82 games this season.
A total of 65 Heat games this season (out of 82) have had more than 205 total points scored.
The Celtics and Heat average 25.7 more points between them than the over/under of 205 for this game.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 217.6 points per game, 12.6 more than the over/under in this matchup.
The average over/under the Celtics have had set in matchups this year is 24.8 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average point total for the Heat this season is 13.5 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Back the Celtics on the Moneyline (-520)
The Celtics have been favorites in 79 games this season and have come away with the win 63 times (79.7%) in those contests.
The Heat have won 11 of the 35 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (31.4%).
This season, the Celtics have come away with a win 26 times in 29 chances when named as a favorite of at least -520 or shorter on the moneyline.
The Heat have yet to play as a moneyline underdog of +390 or longer.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Celtics have a 83.9% chance of pulling out a win.
The Heat have an implied moneyline win probability of 20.4% in this game.
Top Celtics Props
| Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
| Jayson Tatum |
25.5 |
9.5 |
5.5 |
| Jaylen Brown |
21.5 |
6.5 |
2.5 |
| Kristaps Porzingis |
15.5 |
7.5 |
– |
| Derrick White |
12.5 |
4.5 |
3.5 |
| Jrue Holiday |
9.5 |
4.5 |
3.5 |
Top Heat Props
| Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
| Tyler Herro |
20.5 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
| Bam Adebayo |
19.5 |
10.5 |
3.5 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. |
14.5 |
4.5 |
3.5 |
| Caleb Martin |
9.5 |
4.5 |
2.5 |
| Nikola Jovic |
8.5 |
5.5 |
– |
Best Celtics vs. Heat Promo Codes
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