The Boston Celtics are double-digit 14-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Miami Heat at TD Garden on Wednesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET on TNT. The Celtics hold a 3-1 series lead. The matchup has an over/under set at 201.5 points.
If you are aiming to gain an edge on Wednesday’s game, see the best bets available in this matchup, in this article (based on our computer predictions).
How to Bet on Celtics vs. Heat
Pick the Celtics (-14) to Cover
In the Celtics’ 82 games this year, they have 42 wins against the spread.
The Heat have played 82 games, with 40 wins against the spread.
The Celtics have an ATS record of 8-5 in their 13 games as a favorite of 14 points or more so far this season.
Take the Points Over (201.5)
The Celtics and their opponent have combined to score over 201.5 points, the current matchup’s total, in 78 of 82 games this year.
This season, 68 of the Heat’s 82 games have had a combined total of more than 201.5 points scored.
The two teams average a combined 29.2 more points per game (230.7) than this matchup’s total of 201.5 points.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 217.6 points per game, 16.1 more than the point total in this matchup.
The average total the Celtics have had in their games this year is 28.3 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The average total for Heat games this year is 17 more points than the point total of 201.5 for this outing.
Back the Celtics on the Moneyline (-1050)
The Celtics have been favorites in 79 games this season and have come away with the win 63 times (79.7%) in those contests.
The Heat are 11-24 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 31.4% of those games).
This season, the Celtics have come away with a win 11 times in 13 chances when named as a favorite of at least -1050 or better on the moneyline.
The Heat have never played a game this season with moneyline odds of +675 or longer.
The Celtics have an implied victory probability of 91.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
The Heat have a 12.9% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
Top Celtics Props
| Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
| Jayson Tatum |
27.5 |
10.5 |
5.5 |
| Jaylen Brown |
23.5 |
6.5 |
2.5 |
| Derrick White |
16.5 |
4.5 |
3.5 |
| Jrue Holiday |
11.5 |
5.5 |
4.5 |
| Al Horford |
9.5 |
8.5 |
2.5 |
Top Heat Props
| Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
| Bam Adebayo |
21.5 |
10.5 |
3.5 |
| Tyler Herro |
20.5 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
| Caleb Martin |
12.5 |
4.5 |
2.5 |
| Nikola Jovic |
8.5 |
5.5 |
2.5 |
| Haywood Highsmith |
6.5 |
3.5 |
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Best Celtics vs. Heat Promo Codes
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