The Dallas Mavericks are 4.5-point underdogs for Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center on Wednesday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The matchup has an over/under of 207.
Keep reading for the best bets you can make on Wednesday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
How to Bet on Timberwolves vs. Mavericks
Pick the Timberwolves (-4.5) to Cover
In the Timberwolves’ 82 games this season, they have 40 wins against the spread.
The Mavericks have 48 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
This season, the Timberwolves have an against the spread record of 20-21 in their 41 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or more.
This season, the Mavericks have an against-the-spread record of 4-7 in their 11 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or more.
Take the Points Over (207)
The Timberwolves have played 67 games with over 207 points scored, their current matchup’s total, this year.
This season, 75 of the Mavericks’ 82 games have had a combined total of more than 207 points scored.
The Timberwolves and the Mavericks combine to average 23.9 more points per game than the over/under of 207 set for this matchup.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 222.1 points per game, 15.1 more than the over/under for this game.
The average total in Timberwolves games this year is 12.5 more points than the over/under of 207 in this game.
The average point total for the Mavericks this year is 26.5 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Back the Timberwolves on the Moneyline (-185)
The Timberwolves have been chosen as favorites in 61 games this year and have walked away with the win 46 times (75.4%) in those games.
The Mavericks have won 38.7% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (12-19).
The Timberwolves have a win-loss record of 34-9 when favored by -185 or better by sportsbooks this year.
The Mavericks have a 2-9 record (winning just 18.2% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +154 or longer.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Timberwolves have a 64.9% chance of walking away with the win.
Based on this game’s moneyline, the Mavericks’ implied win probability is 39.4%.
Top Timberwolves Props
| Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
| Anthony Edwards |
28.5 |
5.5 |
5.5 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns |
20.5 |
8.5 |
3.5 |
| Rudy Gobert |
12.5 |
12.5 |
1.5 |
| Jaden McDaniels |
10.5 |
3.5 |
1.5 |
| Mike Conley |
10.5 |
3.5 |
6.5 |
Top Mavericks Props
| Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
| Luka Doncic |
28.5 |
8.5 |
8.5 |
| Kyrie Irving |
21.5 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
| P.J. Washington |
11.5 |
5.5 |
1.5 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. |
8.5 |
3.5 |
0.5 |
| Dereck Lively II |
7.5 |
6.5 |
0.5 |
Best Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Promo Codes
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