Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 28, 2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs are solid favorites (-180) at home against the Washington Capitals (+150) at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday.

Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Favorite, Moneyline, Total

  • Favorite: Maple Leafs (-180)
  • Underdog: Capitals (+150)
  • Total: 6.5
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    How to Watch Maple Leafs vs. Capitals

  • Date: Thursday, March 28, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN+ and MNMT
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena
  • Maple Leafs 2023-24 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average Rank
    Goals Scored 3.61 3rd
    Goals Allowed 3.15 19th
    Shots 32.7 7th
    Shots Allowed 29.9 15th
    Power Play % 25.37% 6th
    Penalty Kill % 76.26% 27th

    Toronto Betting Info

  • The Maple Leafs have won 33 of their 55 games when listed as a moneyline favorite this season (60.0%).
  • Toronto has a 12-6 record (winning 66.7% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -180 or shorter.
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Maple Leafs have an implied win probability of 64.3%.
  • In 39 games this season, Toronto and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.
  • Maple Leafs Player Props

    Name Assists Prop (Over Payout) Points Prop (Over Payout) Shots Prop (Over Payout)
    Auston Matthews 0.50 (-115) 1.50 (+114) 4.50 (-115)
    William Nylander 0.50 (-166) 1.50 (+110) 3.50 (-130)
    John Tavares 0.50 (+145) 0.50 (-166) 3.50 (+110)

    Capitals 2023-24 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average Rank
    Goals Scored 2.73 27th
    Goals Allowed 3.1 18th
    Shots 26.9 31st
    Shots Allowed 30.5 21st
    Power Play % 21.08% 17th
    Penalty Kill % 79.07% 18th

    Capitals Betting Info

  • The Capitals have been made an underdog 53 times this season, and won 22, or 41.5%, of those games.
  • Toronto is 12-6 (winning 66.7% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -180 or shorter.
  • The Maple Leafs have a 64.3% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • Washington has played 30 games this season with over 6.5 goals.
  • Capitals Player Props

    Name Assists Prop (Over Payout) Points Prop (Over Payout) Shots Prop (Over Payout)
    Alexander Ovechkin 0.50 (+124) 0.50 (-200) 3.50 (-105)
    T.J. Oshie 0.50 (+240) 0.50 (+114) 1.50 (-160)
    Connor McMichael 0.50 (+240) 0.50 (+130) 1.50 (-140)

    Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Injury Report

    Maple Leafs:

    Jake Muzzin: Back (Out For Season),

    Mark Giordano: Concussion (Out),

    Matt Murray: Hip (Out),

    John Klingberg: Hip (Out For Season),

    Calle Jarnkrok: Hand (Out),

    Mitchell Marner: Ankle (Questionable),

    Morgan Rielly: Upper Body (Questionable),

    Ilya Samsonov: Undisclosed (Questionable),

    Joel Edmundson: Undisclosed (Questionable),

    Auston Matthews: Illness (Questionable)

    Capitals:

    Nicklas Backstrom: Hip (Out),

    Sonny Milano: Upper Body (Questionable),

    Ethan Bear: Personal (Out)

    Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Prediction and Pick

    We expect the Maple Leafs (-180 on the moneyline) to topple the Capitals (+150 on the moneyline). As for the total, we recommend betting on the under at 6.5 goals.

    written by

    Brian is just a regular guy whose first passion was sports. He's either been playing, watching, now working in, and recreationally betting on sports for over 30 years. His favorite sports to bet are Football (NFL/NCAAF), College Basketball, and the NASCAR Cup Series. In addition to being a content contributor here at Bleacher Nation, Brian co-hosts the Angle of Pursuit Nascar Betting Podcast , & is also the FantasyLifeApp breaking news moderator/manager.

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