Obsessive Top Shortstop Watch: Correa on Top, “Good Chance” to Land One, Cubs Offered Turner, Market Still Broad, Bogaerts Talk, More

Dec 06, 2022

The latest on the VERY HOT shortstop market, where the Chicago Cubs seem pretty aggressively determined to land at least one of the three remaining top names, if not two …

Patrick Mooney and Sahadev Sharma dug into the shortstop market as it relates to the Cubs, who are clearly very into Carlos Correa, and who did make an offer for Trea Turner before he signed with the Phillies:

Jed Hoyer and David Ross met with Carlos Correa and his wife at the Newport Beach resort that Scott Boras is using as a Winter Meetings base. The Cubs also fell short in a bid for Trea Turner. Story with @sahadevsharma on the pursuit of a star shortstop: https://t.co/iqakcslMUb— Patrick Mooney (@PJ_Mooney) December 6, 2022

From various reports, you get the sense that the prime suitors for Correa at this point are the Twins (they “met on him” last night, maybe to start improving their offer), the Giants (presumably if they miss on Aaron Judge), the Dodgers (who almost certainly want to stay short-term, very high-AAV), and the Cubs.

Here’s hoping Correa DOESN’T re-up with the Twins, and that Morosi is right:

Matt Vasgersian: "If Carlos Correa doesn't return to the Twins…is there another team that's the leading suitor for his services?"@jonmorosi: "The Cubs." pic.twitter.com/KfAARNwY60— Cubs On Tap (@CubbiesOnTap) December 6, 2022

How Jon Heyman summed up where things stand with the Cubs: “The Cubs are looking at Correa, Xander Bogaerts and Dansby Swanson, and folks believe they have a good chance to land one of the shortstops — although, as many as 11 teams are in contact with the four star shortstops.” Good chance to land one. … But also maybe not.

Tom Verducci writes about the Trea Turner contract, saying that it doesn’t really change the calculus for other teams because of its unique structure, which was all about holding down the AAV.

Verducci also sums up the market: “The Cubs, Cardinals, Dodgers, Braves, Twins, Angels and, depending on the Aaron Judge decision, Giants and Yankees still are monitoring the shortstop market.”

Dare I read something into a punch fist emoji:

Trea Turner getting 11-years $300m from #Phillies elevates the market for Correa who will top that deal w/ #Twins #Giants or 👊🏻#Cubs and Judge who should now get a 10- year deal from #Giants or #Yankees records are made to be broken on the field and at the Winter Meetings. 💲💲💲— Jim Bowden⚾️🏈 (@JimBowdenGM) December 6, 2022

I do think, by the way, that Correa will “top” Turner’s deal, but I’m not sure it’ll come in the same form. That $27-ish million AAV is so low. Is an eight-year deal at a $35 million AAV better or worse than Turner’s, for example? It’s only $280 million guaranteed, so that part is less than Turner’s, but it would come to Correa in three fewer seasons. And what about deferrals or opt outs? I think doing an apples-to-apples comparison is going to take some time.

We’re still finding things out about the Turner situation, for example:

Padres offer to Trea Turner was for more than the Lindor ($341M) deal
— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) December 6, 2022

Again, we don’t know anything about the structure or deferrals – which can change the value considerably – and there is also the 10% income tax in California, which would’ve been a factor. But that’s a VERY serious offer, and it does make you wonder just how high things could go for Correa.

Marino Pepén was the first to report the level of seriousness between the Cubs and Bogaerts, and he calls them the most serious threat to the Red Sox getting a re-signing done:

HOY: Los #Cubs representan la principal amenaza para #RedSox por los servicios de Xander Bogaerts.

Buscan un SS de cartel y tienen cartera abierta…#WinterMeetings #MLB— Marino Pepén (@Marino_Pepen) December 6, 2022

written by

Brett Taylor

Brett Taylor is the Lead Cubs Writer at Bleacher Nation, and you can find him on Twitter at @BleacherNation and on LinkedIn here. Brett is also the founder of Bleacher Nation, which opened up shop in 2008 as an independent blog about the Chicago Cubs. Later growing to incorporate coverage of other Chicago sports, Bleacher Nation is now one of the largest regional sports blogs on the web.

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Obsessive Top Shortstop Watch: Correa on Top, “Good Chance” to Land One, Cubs Offered Turner, Market Still Broad, Bogaerts Talk, More

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