Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Picks, Live Odds and Moneyline – Wednesday, April 17, 2024

The oddsmakers pick the Tampa Bay Lightning to beat the Toronto Maple Leafs in their matchup on Wednesday, April 17, with the Lightning given moneyline odds of -130 on home ice, and the Maple Leafs at +110.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Favorite, Moneyline, Total

  • Favorite: Lightning (-130)
  • Underdog: Maple Leafs (+110)
  • Total: 6.5
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    How to Watch Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

  • Date: Wednesday, April 17, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN+ and BSSUN
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Venue: Amalie Arena
  • Lightning 2023-24 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average Rank
    Goals Scored 3.48 5th
    Goals Allowed 3.25 22nd
    Shots 29.2 22nd
    Shots Allowed 29.6 11th
    Power Play % 28.69% 1st
    Penalty Kill % 83.12% 5th

    Tampa Bay Betting Info

  • The Lightning have won 28 of their 48 games when favored on the moneyline this season (58.3%).
  • Tampa Bay is 22-14 (winning 61.1% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -130 or shorter.
  • The Lightning have a 56.5% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • In 39 of 80 matches this season, Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to finish above 6.5 goals.
  • Lightning Player Props

    Name Assists Prop (Over Payout) Points Prop (Over Payout) Shots Prop (Over Payout)
    Nikita Kucherov 0.50 (-200) 1.50 (+110) 3.50 (+100)
    Steven Stamkos 0.50 (+100) 0.50 (-195) 3.50 (+105)
    Brandon Hagel 0.50 (+145) 0.50 (-130) 1.50 (-195)

    Maple Leafs 2023-24 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average Rank
    Goals Scored 3.63 2nd
    Goals Allowed 3.15 19th
    Shots 32.5 7th
    Shots Allowed 29.8 15th
    Power Play % 24.26% 7th
    Penalty Kill % 76.92% 22nd

    Maple Leafs Betting Info

  • The Maple Leafs have won six, or 40.0%, of the 15 games they have played as an underdog this season.
  • Tampa Bay is 22-14 (winning 61.1% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -130 or shorter.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Lightning have an implied win probability of 56.5%.
  • Toronto has played 44 games this season that ended with more than 6.5 goals.
  • Maple Leafs Player Props

    Name Assists Prop (Over Payout) Points Prop (Over Payout) Shots Prop (Over Payout)
    Auston Matthews 0.50 (-110) 1.50 (+120) 4.50 (-140)
    William Nylander 0.50 (-135) 1.50 (+154) 3.50 (+100)
    Mitchell Marner 0.50 (-145) 1.50 (+165) 2.50 (-105)

    Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Injury Report

    Lightning:

    Jonas Johansson: Lower Body (Out),

    Mikhail Sergachev: Lower Body (Out),

    Haydn Fleury: Upper Body (Questionable),

    Tyler Motte: Lower Body (Questionable)

    Maple Leafs:

    Jake Muzzin: Back (Out For Season),

    John Klingberg: Hip (Out For Season),

    Matt Murray: Hip (Out),

    Calle Jarnkrok: Hand (Out),

    Bobby McMann: Lower Body (Questionable),

    Max Domi: Undisclosed (Out)

    Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction and Pick

    We expect the Lightning (-130 on the moneyline) to topple the Maple Leafs (+110 on the moneyline). For the total, we recommend betting on the over at 6.5 goals.

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