Astros vs. Cubs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 25, 2024

The Houston Astros (7-18) visit the Chicago Cubs (15-9) at 2:20 PM ET Thursday for a sluggers’ duel between two of the best home-run hitters in baseball. Jose Altuve has racked up six homers this season (No. 9 in the league) for the favored Astros which sit as -134 favorites, while Michael Busch ranks ninth in the majors with six dingers of his own for the underdogs.

Justin Verlander starts for Houston while Javier Assad is Chicago’s starter for the contest.

Astros vs. Cubs Odds

  • Astros odds to win: -134
  • Cubs odds to win: +114
  • Spread: Astros -1.5
  • Total: 7.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, April 25, 2024
  • Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • TV: SCHN
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    Who Will Win Astros vs. Cubs?

    Astros and Cubs Betting Trends

    The Astros have won five of the 20 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (25%).

    Houston has a record of 4-5 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -134 or shorter (44.4% winning percentage).

    The Cubs have been underdogs in 16 games this season and won nine (56.2%) of those contests.

    Chicago has a record of 4-3 when it’s set as an underdog of +114 or more by oddsmakers this season.

    The Astros have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 25 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in eight of those games (8-15-2).

    So far this season, the Cubs and their opponents have hit the over in 11 of their 24 games with a total.

    Astros Stats & Insights

    The Astros rank 20th in runs scored with 101, four per game.

    Houston is 10th in baseball with 26 home runs. They average one per game.

    The Astros have the third-best batting average in the league (.264).

    Houston strikes out the least in baseball, averaging 6.6 per game.

    The Astros pitching staff ranks 23rd in the majors with a collective 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Houston’s 5.14 team ERA ranks 28th among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Cubs Stats & Insights

    The Cubs have scored 130 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB.

    Chicago’s 27 home runs rank seventh in Major League Baseball.

    The Cubs rank 14th in MLB with a .243 team batting average.

    Chicago ranks 18th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.8 Ks per contest.

    The Cubs average 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, ninth-most in the majors.

    Chicago pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.82 ERA this year, which ranks 14th in MLB.

    Astros Key Players to Watch

    Verlander (1-0) makes the start for the Astros, his second of the season.

    Kyle Tucker is batting .281 for Houston with a team-high 17 RBI.

    Altuve leads Houston in batting average (.350) and home runs (six) this season, while also driving in eight runs.

    Yordan Alvarez is slashing .273/.351/.455 this season for the Astros.

    Jeremy Pena has collected 33 hits this season and has an OBP of .363. He’s slugging .449 on the year.

    Cubs Key Players to Watch

    Assad (2-0) will take the mound for the Cubs, his fifth start of the season.

    Nico Hoerner is hitting .271 with six doubles, a triple and 10 walks.

    Busch has hit six home runs while batting .280. Both pace his team.

    Christopher Morel is hitting .205 with two doubles, a triple, three home runs and 11 walks.

    Ian Happ is hitting .232 with five doubles, a triple, a home run and 14 walks.

    Astros and Cubs Injuries

    Astros: Jose Urquidy: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Cristian Javier: 15 Day IL (Neck), Framber Valdez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Garcia: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Oliver Ortega: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Lance McCullers Jr.: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Penn Murfee: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kendall Graveman: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Bennett Sousa: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Cubs: Cody Bellinger: 10 Day IL (Rib), Seiya Suzuki: 10 Day IL (Oblique strain), Drew Smyly: 15 Day IL (Hip), Kyle Hendricks: 15 Day IL (Back), Justin Steele: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Julian Merryweather: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Caleb Kilian: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Astros vs. Cubs Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Astros vs. Cubs

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