Here’s What Went Wrong in the Cubs Historically Bad Loss to the Padres

West Coast trips are bad enough with their late-night first pitches and near-midnight final outs. We don’t need historically bad losses on top. But that’s just what last night was, as the Chicago Cubs dropped the series opener by a final score of 9-8 despite leading 8-0 more than half-way through the game.

And when I say historically bad loss, I’m not exaggerating.

  • For the Padres, coming back from an eight run deficit and winning was tied for the biggest comeback in franchise history (Jesse Rogers).
  • The Cubs, meanwhile, had won 234 consecutive games when leading by eight or more runs. They hadn’t blown a lead that big since 2002(!), when they put up an 8-0 lead over the White Sox after three innings, before allowing 10 unanswered runs and ultimately losing 13-9 (I am … very glad I don’t remember that one). Wood, Joe Borowski, Carlos Zambrano, and Kyle Farnsworth all pitched in that one. Also, Corey Patterson led off, Sammy Sosa drew a couple of walks, and Joe Girardi was behind the plate … just to put a little context to how long ago that was.
  • And to put this in a different, even more depressing frame of reference: It doesn’t actually require an 8-run lead for a Cubs win to feel more-or-less inevitable. According to Chris Kamka, the Cubs had won 43 straight games when scoring 8 or more runs, including a 32-0 mark last season. Hell, when they scored at least 7 runs (regardless of the lead they carried), the Cubs were 40-1 last season.
  • It’s just an incredibly depressing and embarrassing display, when your win expectancy literally reaches 99.4% half-way through the game. I mean really think about how bad it has to go for those odds to flip.

    And that’s the part that no one seems to be talking about. It’s not like this was just a super-early 8-0 lead that gave the Padres plenty of time to come back. This was taken into the SIXTH inning. That’s less than half the game remaining for them to chip away, and they didn’t even need the bottom of the ninth. The Padres erased an 8-0 deficit in three innings of work. Just brutal.

    In case you missed what actually happened, I’ll do the brief version of how the wheels fell off (I don’t have the stomach to get into it much more than that):

  • Javier Assad was cruising through 5.0 innings, but ran out of gas in the sixth when he eclipsed 100 pitches for the first time in his career allowing a two-run home run to Jake Cronenworth. At the time, given the lead, the homer was a no-harm, no-foul couple of runs scored in what otherwise still looked like a blowout. Given how much the bullpen has been used and the injuries up and down the pitching staff, I agreed with the idea of letting Assad try to tackle the sixth.
  • Then Jose Cuas came in and a rare error by Dansby Swanson plus a weird misplay by Mike Tauchman in right field led to three runs on just 13 pitches. Obviously, the defense has to be tighter there, but Cuas had nothing for the five batters he faced.
  • Luke Little came in to try and clean it up, and although he struck out Eguy Rosario, he gave up a two-run homer to Xander Bogaerts before getting out of the inning.
  • Little stayed in to start the next inning, but couldn’t find the strike zone, so Counsell brought in Hector Neris, who got out of it … by getting lucky on some really hard contact (104.5 MPH lineout, 98.9 MPH groundout).
  • Neris started the 8th, but a walk and some more hard contact (99.1 MPH flyout) and Counsell had seen enough. So he called on his closer, Adbert Alzolay, who struck out Xander Bogaerts before giving up the game-winning two-run home run to Fernando Tatis Jr.
  • Although the personnel and actual performance of the Cubs bullpen is the bigger problem here, I do want to point out that every single reliever was brought into someone else’s mess. Cuas came in mid-inning for Assad, Little came in mid-inning for Cuas, Neris for Little, and Alzolay for Neris. That’s not why each or any of them failed, but we’ve all seen enough baseball to know that can get into a guy’s head.

    Here’s Craig Counsell after last night’s loss:

    And while we’re at it, let’s not let the defense, which was sloppy, and offense, which went completely silent, off the hook. After plating 8 runs on 7 hits and 6 walks in their first 6.0 innings of work, the Cubs managed just one hit – a Mike Tauchman single – from the 7th inning on. You can’t just disappear like that. Not when your defense is also failing.

    And since this is apparently the place to air our grievances, let me also point out another thing: Garrett Cooper had to come in off the bench to face 100 MPH fastballs from Ranger Suarez with two outs in the ninth and the Cubs down one, because Christopher Morel had already been subbed out in favor of Nick Madrigal for defense. And while defensive replacements are smart and common in baseball, it’s just another reminder of how important it is for Morel to improve his defense at third base. Sometimes, your bullpen is going to blow a lead and it would’ve been nice to have Morel’s bat in there instead of Madrigal (or Cooper, who’d been sitting all game) at the end of the night.

    Ugh. Okay, just an ugly, ugly loss from the Cubs and I want to move on from it. Of course, because of the injuries in the rotation and early over-use of the bullpen, the effects of this game will linger into today’s roster moves and eventual rematch against the Padres at 9:05pm CT. Here’s more on what to expect on the pitching side from Brett.

    written by

    Michael Cerami began covering the Chicago Cubs for Bleacher Nation as a part-time contributor in 2015. One year later, he joined Bleacher Nation full-time, covering the Chicago Cubs and Major League Baseball. Today, Michael runs Bleacher Nation, contributing as a writer (Cubs, MLB) and an editor for all sections of the site, including the Chicago Bears, Bulls, and Blackhawks, as well as MLB, NBA, NHL, and NFL. In 2019, Michael was the co-host of NBC Sports Chicago's Cubs Post-Game Show Outside the Ivy. You can find him on Twitter/X @Michael_Cerami

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