The Atlanta Braves (7-3) host the New York Mets (4-7) Thursday to close out a three-game series. The Braves are favored (-174) to win the rubber match, which starts at 12:20 PM ET from Truist Park.
Allan Winans takes the mound for Atlanta while Jose Quintana is New York’s starter for the contest.
Braves vs. Mets Odds
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Who Will Win Braves vs. Mets?
Braves and Mets Betting Trends
The Braves have won 70% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (7-3).
Atlanta has gone 5-2 (winning 71.4% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -174 or shorter.
The Mets have entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won twice.
New York has played as an underdog of +146 or more twice this season and split those games.
The Braves have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 10 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in seven of those games (7-2-1).
The Mets and their opponents have hit the over in five of their 11 games with a total this season.
Braves Stats & Insights
The Braves have the No. 5 offense in MLB play scoring 6.9 runs per game (69 total runs).
Atlanta is ninth-best in MLB action with 14 total home runs.
The Braves’ .306 batting average leads MLB.
Atlanta’s batters strike out 8.7 times per game, the third-lowest average in MLB.
The Braves pitching staff ranks 17th in the majors with a collective 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings.
Atlanta has a 4.30 team ERA that ranks 17th across all MLB pitching staffs.
Mets Stats & Insights
The Mets are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 26th with just 38 total runs (3.5 per game) this season.
New York has hit 11 homers this season, which ranks 18th in the majors.
The Mets’ .218 batting average ranks 23rd in the league this season.
New York has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the third-best strikeout rate (7.9 per game) among MLB offenses.
The Mets have a 9.7 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, sixth-best in baseball.
New York has pitched to a 3.42 ERA this season, which ranks eighth in baseball.
Braves Key Players to Watch
Winans starts for the first time this season for the Braves.
Ozzie Albies has been key for Atlanta with two home runs, 12 RBI and a batting average of .310 this season.
Marcell Ozuna is batting .318 this season with a team-high five home runs and 13 RBI.
Matt Olson has 12 hits this season and a slash line of .293/.370/.659.
Michael Harris II has collected 14 hits this season and has an OBP of .409. He’s slugging .600 on the year.
Mets Key Players to Watch
Quintana will get the start for the Mets, his third of the season.
Brandon Nimmo has a team-best eight runs batted in.
Pete Alonso’s three home runs lead his team.
Starling Marte is hitting .256 with a double, a home run and four walks.
Brett Baty has a club-high .325 batting average.
Braves and Mets Injuries
Braves: Sean Murphy: 10 Day IL (Oblique strain), Angel Perdomo: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Spencer Strider: 15 Day IL (Right elbow strain)
Mets: Max Kranick: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), Sean Reid-Foley: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Tylor Megill: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), David Peterson: 60 Day IL (Hip), Ronny Mauricio: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kodai Senga: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)
Braves vs. Mets Prediction
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