Thunder vs. Pelicans Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets for Western Conference Semifinals Game 3 – Saturday, April 27, 2024

The Oklahoma City Thunder take a 2-0 lead into Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Thunder are favored by 1 point in the matchup, which airs on TNT at 3:30 PM ET. The over/under is set at 208.5 for the matchup.

Thunder vs. Pelicans Odds

  • Thunder odds to win: -118
  • Pelicans odds to win: -102
  • Spread: Thunder (-1)
  • Total: 208.5
  • How to Bet on Thunder vs. Pelicans

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    Game Time and Information

  • When: Saturday, April 27, 2024 at 3:30 PM ET
  • Where: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana
  • TV: TNT
  • Who Will Win Thunder vs. Pelicans?

    Thunder and Pelicans Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    In games they have played as at least 1-point favorites this season, the Thunder are 35-26 against the spread.

    The Pelicans have a 20-11-1 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 1 point or more.

    The two teams average a combined 26.7 more points per game, 235.2, than this matchup’s over/under of 208.5 points.

    Oklahoma City and New Orleans have seen its opponents average a combined 14.9 more points per game than the point total of 208.5 set for this game.

    The average total the Thunder have had set in games this year is 24.3 more points than this outing’s point total.

    The average point total for New Orleans this season is 17.2 points higher than this game’s over/under.

    Oklahoma City is 46-35-1 against the spread this season.

    The Pelicans have gone 44-36-2 ATS this year.

    Thunder Stats & Insights

    The Thunder are outscoring opponents by 7.4 points per game with a +608 scoring differential overall. They put up 120.1 points per game (third in the NBA) and allow 112.7 per contest (11th in the league).

    The Thunder fall short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.7 boards. They are recording 42.0 rebounds per game (27th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 44.7 per contest.

    Oklahoma City makes 13.3 three-pointers per game (eighth-most in the league) at a 38.9% rate (first in the NBA), compared to the 13.4 its opponents make while shooting 36.1% from beyond the arc.

    The Thunder rank third in the NBA with 120.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and fourth in the league defensively with 113.0 points conceded per 100 possessions.

    The Thunder have been much better offensively at home, where they average 123.1 points per game, compared to on the road, where they record 117.0 per game. Defensively, they are much better at home, where they concede 110.2 points per game, versus on the road, where they allow their opponents to average 115.2 per game.

    Pelicans Stats & Insights

    The Pelicans are outscoring opponents by 4.4 points per game, with a +362 scoring differential overall. They put up 115.1 points per game (13th in NBA) and allow 110.7 per contest (eighth in league).

    New Orleans comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 1.7 boards. It grabs 44.0 rebounds per game (12th in league) compared to its opponents’ 42.3.

    The Pelicans make 12.5 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) at a 38.3% rate (fourth-best in NBA), compared to the 13.5 their opponents make, shooting 34.9% from beyond the arc.

    The Pelicans score 118.3 points per 100 possessions (11th in league), while conceding 113.7 points per 100 possessions (sixth in NBA).

    At home, New Orleans scores 114.9 points per game. Away, it scores 115.3.

    Thunder Key Players to Watch

    The active leader in points and assists for the Thunder this season is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scores 30.1 points and distributes 6.2 assists per game.

    Chet Holmgren averages 16.5 points per game while adding 7.9 rebounds and 2.4 assists for the Thunder.

    The Thunder get 2.0 three-pointers per game out of Luguentz Dort.

    Gilgeous-Alexander averages 2.0 steals per game, while Holmgren has 2.3 blocks per contest.

    Pelicans Key Players to Watch

    Brandon Ingram’s performance this season has resulted in strong scoring and assists numbers, with 20.8 points per game and 5.7 assists per game to go with 5.1 rebounds per contest.

    Jonas Valanciunas’ per-game averages this season are 12.2 points, 2.1 assists and 8.8 rebounds.

    CJ McCollum averages 3.6 made threes per game.

    The Pelicans’ defensive effort gets a lift from Herbert Jones (1.4 steals per game) and Valanciunas (0.8 blocks per game).

    Thunder vs. Pelicans Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Thunder (- 1)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (208.5)

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 115 – Pelicans 114
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