Phillies vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, April 26, 2024

The San Diego Padres (14-14) enter Friday’s matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies (16-10) following their 2-2 series tie with the Rockies. The Phillies, coming off of a series split against the Reds, are listed as -115 favorites for Game 1. The series begins at PETCO Park, starting at 9:40 PM ET on SDPA.

Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola and San Diego’s Joe Musgrove have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Padres Odds

  • Phillies odds to win: -115
  • Padres odds to win: -105
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 7.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, April 26, 2024
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • TV: SDPA
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    Who Will Win Phillies vs. Padres?

    Phillies and Padres Betting Trends

    The Phillies have been the moneyline favorite 21 total times this season. They’ve gone 14-7 in those games.

    When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -115 or shorter, Philadelphia has a 13-7 record (winning 65% of its games).

    This season, the Padres have been the underdog 12 times and won five, or 41.7%, of those games.

    This season, San Diego has won five of its 10 games, or 50%, when it’s the underdog by at least -105 on the moneyline.

    The Phillies have had an over/under set by bookmakers 26 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 10 of those games (10-15-1).

    The Padres and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 14 of their 28 opportunities.

    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies have the No. 13 offense in baseball scoring 4.3 runs per game (113 total runs).

    Philadelphia is sixth in MLB action with 28 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

    The Phillies rank 10th in the majors with a .248 batting average.

    Philadelphia strikes out 8.3 times per game, the No. 16 mark in the majors.

    The Phillies pitching staff ranks second in the majors with a collective 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Philadelphia has the seventh-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.32).

    Padres Stats & Insights

    The Padres are among the highest scoring teams in the majors, ranking third with 139 total runs this season.

    San Diego’s 28 home runs rank sixth in Major League Baseball.

    The Padres rank seventh in MLB with a .257 team batting average.

    San Diego ranks 11th in strikeouts per game (7.2) among MLB offenses.

    The Padres have an 8.3 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 20th in the majors.

    San Diego pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.03 ERA this year, which ranks 18th in MLB.

    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    The Phillies are sending Nola (3-1) to the mound to make his sixth start of the season. He is 3-1 with a 3.16 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 31 1/3 innings pitched.

    Alec Bohm leads Philadelphia in runs batted in with 21 while batting .333, which is also best on the team.

    Trea Turner has collected 35 hits this season and has an OBP of .379. He’s slugging .467 on the year.

    Bryce Harper has 21 hits this season and a slash line of .256/.347/.488.

    Kyle Schwarber is slugging .378 this season, with a team-best six homers while driving in 13 runs.

    Padres Key Players to Watch

    The Padres will send Musgrove (3-2) to the mound for his seventh start this season.

    Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .238 with four doubles, two triples, four home runs and 16 walks.

    Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit six home runs to lead his team.

    Jurickson Profar has put up a team-high 18 runs batted in.

    Jake Cronenworth is batting .255 with four doubles, a triple, three home runs and 12 walks.

    Phillies and Padres Injuries

    Phillies: Rafael Marchan: 10 Day IL (Back), Taijuan Walker: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Dylan Covey: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Ortiz: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Michael Rucker: 15 Day IL (Hand)

    Padres: Tucupita Marcano: 10 Day IL (Knee), Glenn Otto: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Yu Darvish: 15 Day IL (Neck), Luis Patiño: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Jackson Merrill: day-to-day (Groin)

    Phillies vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 6, Phillies 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Phillies vs. Padres

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