NEWSLETTER
The Indiana Pacers are 4-point favorites for a decisive Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Milwaukee Bucks at Fiserv Forum on Tuesday, beginning at 9:30 PM ET on TNT. The Pacers hold a 3-1 series lead. The matchup’s over/under is set at 216.5.
Pacers vs. Bucks Odds
How to Bet on Pacers vs. Bucks
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Pacers vs. Bucks?
Pacers and Bucks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games they have played as at least 4-point favorites this season, the Pacers are 17-14-1 against the spread.
The Bucks have a 3-4 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 4 points or more this season.
Between them, these two teams average 25.8 more points per game (242.3) than this game’s total (216.5).
Indiana and Milwaukee have seen its opponents average a combined 20.1 more points per game than the over/under of 216.5 set in this outing.
The average total the Pacers have had in their matchups this year is 27.0 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The average over/under in Milwaukee’s games this season is 18.8 more points than the point total of 216.5 in this outing.
Indiana’s ATS record is 44-35-3 this season.
The Bucks have a 35-46-1 record against the spread this year.
Pacers Stats & Insights
The Pacers’ +250 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 123.3 points per game (first in the NBA) while allowing 120.2 per contest (27th in the league).
The Pacers are 28th in the league at 41.5 rebounds per game. That’s 1.9 fewer than the 43.4 their opponents average.
Indiana hits 2.5 more threes per game than the opposition, 13.2 (10th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 10.7.
The Pacers rank second in the NBA with 121.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 24th in the league defensively with 118.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
In 2023-24, the Pacers’ offense has been better at home, where they average 125.5 points per game, compared to on the road, where they record 121.0 per game. On defense, they have been better in home games, where they allow 118.7 points per game, versus road games, where they let opponents to average 121.8 per game.
Bucks Stats & Insights
The Bucks have a +215 scoring differential, topping opponents by 2.6 points per game. They’re putting up 119.0 points per game, fourth in the league, and are giving up 116.4 per contest to rank 21st in the NBA.
The 44.2 rebounds per game Milwaukee accumulates rank eighth in the NBA. Their opponents grab 44.0.
The Bucks knock down 14.2 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league) at a 37.3% rate (11th in NBA), compared to the 12.6 per game their opponents make, at a 35.6% rate.
The Bucks rank sixth in the league averaging 119.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 19th, allowing 116.5 points per 100 possessions.
At home Milwaukee is scoring 121.2 points per game, 4.5 more than it is averaging on the road (116.7).
Pacers Key Players to Watch
The Pacers get 21.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.3 assists from Pascal Siakam.
Tyrese Haliburton’s averages this season are 20.1 points, 3.9 rebounds and 10.9 assists per game.
The Pacers get 2.8 three-pointers per game out of Haliburton.
Haliburton averages 1.2 steals per game, while Myles Turner has 1.9 blocks per contest.
Bucks Key Players to Watch
Giannis Antetokounmpo is at the top of the Bucks scoring and rebounding leaderboards with 30.4 points per game and 11.5 rebounds per game to go with 6.5 assists per contest this season.
Damian Lillard has per-game averages of 24.3 points, 7.0 assists and 4.4 rebounds this season.
Malik Beasley hits 2.8 threes per game.
Antetokounmpo’s 1.2 steals and Brook Lopez’s 2.4 blocks per game are key to the Bucks’ defensive effort.
Pacers vs. Bucks Prediction
Over (216.5)
Bucks 120 – Pacers 119
