NEWSLETTER
The Dallas Mavericks are 8-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 6 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Los Angeles Clippers at American Airlines Center on Friday, beginning at 9:30 PM ET on ESPN. The Mavericks hold a 3-2 series lead. The point total is 208 in the matchup.
Mavericks vs. Clippers Odds
How to Bet on Mavericks vs. Clippers
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Mavericks vs. Clippers?
Mavericks and Clippers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Mavericks have a 12-5 record against the spread when favored by 8 points or more this season.
The Clippers are 1-1 against the spread when an underdog by 8 points or more this year.
These two teams average 233.5 points per game combined, 25.5 more than the over/under of 208.
Dallas and Los Angeles have seen its opponents average a combined 19.9 more points per game than the point total of 208 set for this game.
The average over/under the Mavericks have had in their matchups this year is 25.5 more points than this particular game’s point total.
Los Angeles’ games this season have averaged an over/under of 228.0 points, 20.0 more than the point total in this matchup.
Dallas has a 48-34-0 record against the spread this season.
The Clippers have a 38-44-0 record against the spread this year.
Mavericks Stats & Insights
The Mavericks have a +181 scoring differential, topping opponents by 2.3 points per game. They’re putting up 117.9 points per game to rank seventh in the league and are giving up 115.6 per outing to rank 20th in the NBA.
The Mavericks lose the rebound battle by 2.2 boards on average. They record 42.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 21st in the league, while their opponents pull down 45.1 per outing.
Dallas knocks down 14.6 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league) at a 36.9% rate (13th in the NBA), compared to the 13.1 per game its opponents make at a 36.8% rate.
The Mavericks rank 10th in the NBA with 118.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 17th in the league defensively with 116.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Mavericks have scored at a higher rate when playing at home than away from home in the 2023-24 season (118.7 at home versus 117.0 on the road), though they have surrendered fewer points at home than in road games (115.0 opponent points per home game versus 116.2 on the road).
Clippers Stats & Insights
The Clippers put up 115.6 points per game (12th in league) while giving up 112.3 per outing (10th in NBA). They have a +269 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 3.3 points per game.
Los Angeles averages 43.0 rebounds per game (19th in league), compared to the 42.2 of its opponents.
The Clippers make 12.6 three-pointers per game (15th in the league) at a 38.1% rate (sixth-best in NBA), compared to the 12.9 their opponents make, shooting 36.3% from beyond the arc.
The Clippers average 119.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (fourth in league), and allow 116.3 points per 100 possessions (18th in NBA).
In 2023-24 Los Angeles is averaging 0.6 fewer points per game at home (115.3) than away (115.9).
Mavericks Key Players to Watch
Luka Doncic accumulates 33.9 points and 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game.
Doncic makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Mavericks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 4.1 per contest.
Doncic picks pockets to the tune of 1.4 takeaways per game, while Daniel Gafford records 2.1 rejections per contest.
Clippers Key Players to Watch
Paul George pours in 22.6 points per game and also tacks on 5.2 rebounds and 3.5 assists per contest.
This season, Ivica Zubac is averaging 11.7 points, 1.4 assists and 9.2 rebounds per game.
George cashes in on 3.3 treys per game.
The Clippers’ defensive efforts get a boost from George’s 1.5 steals and Zubac’s 1.2 blocks per game.
Mavericks vs. Clippers Prediction
Over (208)
Mavericks 116 – Clippers 113
