Mets vs. Rays Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 4, 2024

The New York Mets (16-16) will look to Brett Baty, who is coming off a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays (15-18) Saturday at 7:15 PM ET on FOX. The Mets are -112 favorites for the contest, according to bookmakers.

New York’s Christian Scott gets the start, and he’ll go against Tampa Bay’s Zack Littell.

Mets vs. Rays Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -112
  • Rays odds to win: -108
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 7.5 runs
  • Mets vs. Rays Promo Codes

    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024
  • Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • TV: FOX
  • Who Will Win Mets vs. Rays?

    Mets and Rays Betting Trends

    The Mets have won 10 of the 18 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (55.6%).

    When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -112 or shorter, New York has a record of 9-8 (52.9%).

    The Rays have won four of the eight games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

    Tampa Bay has entered eight games this season as the underdog by -108 or more and is 4-4 in those contests.

    The Mets have had an over/under set by bookmakers 32 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 16 of those games (16-16-0).

    The Rays and their opponents have hit the over in 19 of their 33 games with a total this season.

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets are the 17th-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.5 runs per game (143 total).

    New York is 13th in MLB play with 34 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

    The Mets’ .238 batting average ranks 18th in the majors.

    New York strikes out 7.6 times per game, the third-best mark in baseball.

    The pitching staff for the Mets has a collective 9.3 K/9, the fifth-best in MLB.

    New York has the 11th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.64).

    Rays Stats & Insights

    The Rays have scored the 20th-most runs in the league this season with 130 (3.9 per game).

    Tampa Bay ranks 25th in Major League Baseball with 27 home runs.

    The Rays have a team batting average of .243 this season, which ranks 14th among MLB teams.

    Tampa Bay ranks 23rd with an average of nine strikeouts per game.

    The Rays strike out 8.8 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, ninth-best in MLB.

    Tampa Bay pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.74 ERA this year, which ranks 26th in MLB.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    Scott gets the call to start for the Mets, his first of the season.

    Pete Alonso leads New York with eight home runs this season. He’s batting .220 with 16 RBI.

    Francisco Lindor is batting .208 with an OBP of .286 and a slugging percentage of .384 this season.

    Brandon Nimmo leads New York in runs batted in (20) this season. He has a .217 batting average and a .365 slugging percentage.

    Starling Marte has collected 31 hits this season and has an OBP of .298. He’s slugging .402 on the year.

    Rays Key Players to Watch

    The Rays will hand the ball to Littell (1-2) for his seventh start of the season.

    Isaac Paredes paces the Rays with seven home runs and 17 runs batted in.

    Amed Rosario’s .309 batting average is a team-high mark.

    Jose Caballero has six doubles, a triple, two home runs and two walks while batting .276.

    Yandy Diaz has five doubles, a home run and 10 walks while hitting .219.

    Mets and Rays Injuries

    Mets: Tylor Megill: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Drew Smith: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), Brooks Raley: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Francisco Álvarez: 15 Day IL (Thumb), David Peterson: 60 Day IL (Hip), Ronny Mauricio: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kodai Senga: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Rays: Josh Lowe: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Brandon Lowe: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Jonathan Aranda: 10 Day IL (Finger), Colin Poche: 15 Day IL (Back), Chris Devenski: 15 Day IL (Knee), Peter Anderson Fairbanks: 15 Day IL (Nerve), Taj Bradley: 15 Day IL (Pectoral), Shane Baz: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Taylor Walls: 60 Day IL (Hip), Drew Rasmussen: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shane McClanahan: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Jeffrey Springs: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Mets vs. Rays Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Mets vs. Rays

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