Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 5, 2024

Christopher Morel leads the Chicago Cubs (20-14) into Sunday’s matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers (20-12) on a three-game homer streak. His Cubs are underdogs for the contest, however, with sportsbooks naming the Brewers as -138 moneyline favorites. The game starts at 2:20 PM ET from Wrigley Field, live on MARQ.

Freddy Peralta will get the ball for Milwaukee while Chicago will counter with Javier Assad.

Brewers vs. Cubs Odds

  • Brewers odds to win: -138
  • Cubs odds to win: +115
  • Spread: Brewers -1.5
  • Total: 6.5 runs
  • Brewers vs. Cubs Promo Codes

    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Sunday, May 5, 2024
  • Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • TV: MARQ
  • Who Will Win Brewers vs. Cubs?

    Brewers and Cubs Betting Trends

    The Brewers have compiled a 9-5 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 64.3% of those games).

    Milwaukee has played as moneyline favorites of -138 or shorter in just two games this season, which it won both.

    The Cubs have been underdogs in 21 games this season and won 11 (52.4%) of those contests.

    Chicago has a record of 6-4, a 60% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +115 or more by bookmakers this season.

    In the 32 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Brewers, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 19 times (19-13-0).

    So far this season, the Cubs and their opponents have hit the over in 15 of their 34 games with a total.

    Brewers Stats & Insights

    The Brewers score the fifth-most runs in baseball (165 total, 5.2 per game).

    Milwaukee ranks sixth in MLB action with 39 home runs. They average 1.2 per game.

    The Brewers’ .257 batting average is fifth-best in MLB.

    Milwaukee’s 9.3 strikeouts per game rank 21st in the majors.

    The 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Brewers pitching staff ranks 24th in the majors.

    Milwaukee has the 19th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.97).

    Cubs Stats & Insights

    The Cubs have scored 163 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB.

    Chicago ranks 11th in Major League Baseball with 35 home runs.

    The Cubs’ .236 batting average ranks 19th in the league this season.

    Chicago ranks 18th with an average of 8.6 strikeouts per game.

    The Cubs have an 8.7 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 12th in the majors.

    Chicago has the 17th-ranked ERA (3.87) in the majors this season.

    Brewers Key Players to Watch

    Peralta (3-0) takes the mound for the Brewers in his seventh start of the season. He’s put together a 3.21 ERA in 33 2/3 innings pitched, with 45 strikeouts.

    William Contreras leads Milwaukee in batting average (.336) and runs batted in (27) this season while also slugging five homers.

    Willy Adames is slugging .468 this season, with a team-best six homers while driving in 22 runs.

    Brice Turang is slashing .308/.371/.423 this season for the Brewers.

    Rhys Hoskins’ six home runs are most among Milwaukee batters. He’s driven in 18 runs this season while slugging .444.

    Cubs Key Players to Watch

    Assad (2-0) will take to the mound for the Cubs and make his seventh start of the season.

    Nico Hoerner paces the Cubs with a .286 batting average.

    Morel’s seven home runs and 20 runs batted in are both team-highs.

    Mike Tauchman has seven doubles, three home runs and 18 walks while hitting .267.

    Michael Busch has six doubles, a triple, six home runs and 10 walks while batting .270.

    Brewers and Cubs Injuries

    Brewers: Joey Wiemer: 10 Day IL (Knee), Christian Yelich: 10 Day IL (Back), Jakob Junis: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Taylor Clarke: 15 Day IL (Meniscus), D.L. Hall: 15 Day IL (Knee), J.B. Bukauskas: 15 Day IL (Lat), Devin Williams: 60 Day IL (Back), Brandon Woodruff: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Garrett Mitchell: 60 Day IL (Finger), Wade Miley: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Gary Sánchez: day-to-day (Hamstring)

    Cubs: Cody Bellinger: 10 Day IL (Rib), Seiya Suzuki: 10 Day IL (Oblique strain), Drew Smyly: 15 Day IL (Hip), Jordan Wicks: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Kyle Hendricks: 15 Day IL (Back), Justin Steele: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Julian Merryweather: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Caleb Kilian: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Brewers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Brewers vs. Cubs

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