The Minnesota Timberwolves bring a 0-1 lead into Game 2 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Nuggets are favored by 6.5 points in the matchup, which airs on TNT at 10:00 PM ET. The point total is set at 208 for the matchup.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds
How to Bet on Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Timberwolves?
Nuggets and Timberwolves Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Nuggets have a 20-19-1 record against the spread when favored by 6.5 points or more this season.
The Timberwolves have a 2-1 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 6.5 points or more this season.
The two teams average a combined 19.9 more points per game (227.9) than this game’s total of 208 points.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 216.1 points per game, 8.1 more than the over/under for this game.
The Nuggets’ average point total in outings this year is 224.5, 16.5 points higher than the total in this game.
The average point total for Minnesota this year is 11.5 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Denver has a 38-42-2 record against the spread this season.
The Timberwolves have a 40-40-2 record against the spread this season.
Nuggets Stats & Insights
The Nuggets average 114.9 points per game (14th in the league) while giving up 109.6 per outing (sixth in the NBA). They have a +431 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 5.3 points per game.
The 44.4 rebounds per game the Nuggets average rank seventh in the league, and are 2.1 more than the 42.3 their opponents pull down per contest.
Denver hits 11.7 three-pointers per game (25th in the league) at a 37.4% rate (ninth-best in the NBA), compared to the 11.2 its opponents make while shooting 35.5% from deep.
The Nuggets record 119.4 points per 100 possessions (fifth in the league), while allowing 113.9 points per 100 possessions (eighth in the NBA).
The Nuggets’ offense has been much better in home games (118.5 PPG) compared to away games (111.2 PPG). Similarly, their defense has been better when playing at home (108.7 PPG allowed) compared to away games (110.5 PPG allowed).
Timberwolves Stats & Insights
The Timberwolves are outscoring opponents by 6.5 points per game, with a +529 scoring differential overall. They put up 113.0 points per game (18th in NBA) and give up 106.5 per outing (first in league).
Minnesota records 43.6 rebounds per game (15th in league) while allowing 41.4 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.2 boards per game.
The Timberwolves connect on 12.6 three-pointers per game (15th in the league), 1.2 more than their opponents.
The Timberwolves rank 16th in the NBA with 116.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and first defensively with 109.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
In 2023-24 Minnesota is averaging 2.0 fewer points per game at home (112.0) than away (114.0).
Nuggets Key Players to Watch
Nikola Jokic puts up 26.4 points and 12.4 rebounds and 9.0 assists per game.
Michael Porter Jr. makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Nuggets, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.7 per contest.
Jokic averages 1.4 takeaways per game, and Peyton Watson records 1.1 rejections per contest.
Timberwolves Key Players to Watch
Anthony Edwards tallies 25.9 points per game. He also adds 5.4 rebounds per outing and 5.1 assists per contest.
Rudy Gobert has per-game averages of 14.0 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 rebounds this season.
Edwards hits 2.4 treys per game.
Edwards’ 1.3 steals and Gobert’s 2.1 blocks per game are vital to the Timberwolves’ defensive performance.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction
Over (208)
Nuggets 111 – Timberwolves 110