Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets for Western Conference Semifinals Game 2 – Thursday, May 9, 2024

The Dallas Mavericks are 5-point underdogs for Game 2 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Thursday, tipping off at 9:30 PM ET on ESPN. The Thunder are ahead 1-0 in the series. The point total is set at 218 for the matchup.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds

  • Thunder odds to win: -198
  • Mavericks odds to win: +164
  • Spread: Thunder (-5)
  • Total: 218
  • How to Bet on Thunder vs. Mavericks

    Game Time and Information

  • When: Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 9:30 PM ET
  • Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • TV: ESPN
  • Who Will Win Thunder vs. Mavericks?

    Thunder and Mavericks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    The Thunder are 23-14 against the spread when favored by 5 points or more this season.

    In games they have played as at least 5-point underdogs this season, the Mavericks are 2-7 against the spread.

    Between them, these two teams average 20.0 more points per game (238) than this matchup’s total (218).

    Opponents of the two teams average a combined 10.3 more points per game, 228.3, than this game’s total of 218 points.

    The average total the Thunder have had set in matchups this season is 14.8 more points than this outing’s point total.

    The average over/under in Dallas’ games this season is 15.5 more points than the point total of 218 for this outing.

    Oklahoma City has gone 46-35-1 ATS this season.

    The Mavericks have gone 48-34-0 ATS this year.

    Thunder Stats & Insights

    The Thunder average 120.1 points per game (third in the league) while giving up 112.7 per contest (11th in the NBA). They have a +608 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 7.4 points per game.

    The 42.0 rebounds per game the Thunder average rank 27th in the league, and are 2.7 fewer than the 44.7 their opponents collect per contest.

    Oklahoma City knocks down 13.3 three-pointers per game (eighth-most in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.4. It shoots 38.9% from deep while its opponents hit 36.1% from long range.

    The Thunder’s 120.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank third in the NBA, and the 113.0 points they allow per 100 possessions rank fourth in the league.

    The Thunder’s offense has been much better at home (123.1 PPG) compared to away games (117.0 PPG). Similarly, their defense has been much better in home games (110.2 PPG allowed) when compared to away games (115.2 PPG allowed).

    Mavericks Stats & Insights

    The Mavericks outscore opponents by 2.3 points per game (posting 117.9 points per game, seventh in league, and giving up 115.6 per outing, 20th in NBA) and have a +181 scoring differential.

    The 42.9 rebounds per game Dallas accumulates rank 21st in the league, 2.2 fewer than the 45.1 its opponents grab.

    The Mavericks connect on 14.6 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league), 1.5 more than their opponents. They are shooting 36.9% from deep (13th in NBA), and opponents are shooting 36.8%.

    The Mavericks rank 10th in the league averaging 118.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 17th, allowing 116.2 points per 100 possessions.

    In 2023-24 Dallas is averaging 1.7 more points per game at home (118.7) than away (117.0).

    Thunder Key Players to Watch

    The Thunder active leader in points and assists this season is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who puts up 30.1 points per game along with 6.2 assists.

    Chet Holmgren puts up 16.5 points per game and adds 7.9 rebounds and 2.4 assists for the Thunder.

    Luguentz Dort makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Thunder, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.0 per contest.

    Gilgeous-Alexander averages 2.0 steals per game, while Holmgren has 2.3 blocks per contest.

    Mavericks Key Players to Watch

    Luka Doncic is having a strong season overall, putting up 33.9 points per game, 9.2 rebounds per game, and 9.8 assists per game.

    Doncic hits 4.1 threes per game.

    The Mavericks’ defensive effort gets a lift from Doncic’s 1.4 steals and Daniel Gafford’s 2.1 blocks per game.

    Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Thunder (- 5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (218)

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 120 – Mavericks 111
  • Thunder vs. Mavericks Promo Codes

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