NEWSLETTER
The No. 7 Duke Blue Devils (16-4, 7-2 ACC) are 4.5-point underdogs as they look to extend a four-game road win streak when they visit the No. 3 North Carolina Tar Heels (17-4, 9-1 ACC) on Saturday, February 3, 2024 at Dean Smith Center. The game airs at 6:30 PM ET on ESPN. The point total for the matchup is 152.5.
North Carolina vs. Duke Odds
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Game Time and Information
Who Will Win North Carolina vs. Duke?
North Carolina and Duke Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
North Carolina has an 8-5 record against the spread this season when favored by 4.5 points or more.
These two teams average a combined 163.6 points per game, 11.1 more points than the over/under of 152.5 set for this game.
North Carolina and Duke have seen their opponents average a combined 16.1 fewer points per game than the over/under of 152.5 set in this game.
The average point total for North Carolina’s games this season is 0.6 fewer points than the over/under of 152.5 in this matchup.
The average over/under in Blue Devils games this season is 4.3 fewer points than the point total of 152.5 for this outing.
The Tar Heels are 13-8-0 ATS this season.
So far this season, the Blue Devils have put together a 10-9-1 record against the spread.
North Carolina Stats & Insights
North Carolina is outscoring opponents by 13.4 points per game with a +281 scoring differential overall. It puts up 82.6 points per game (22nd in college basketball) and allows 69.2 per outing (109th in college basketball).
North Carolina records 41.6 rebounds per game (ninth in college basketball) while allowing 34.2 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 7.4 boards per game.
The Tar Heels connect on 7.6 three-pointers per game (175th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 6.8 on average.
North Carolina ranks 50th in college basketball by averaging 101.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 33rd in college basketball, allowing 85.1 points per 100 possessions.
The Tar Heels post 90 points per game at home, compared to 71 points per game in road games, a difference of 19 points per contest.
Duke Stats & Insights
Duke is outscoring opponents by 13.8 points per game, with a +276 scoring differential overall. It puts up 81 points per game (37th in college basketball) and allows 67.2 per outing (71st in college basketball).
Duke is 173rd in the nation at 35.8 rebounds per game. That’s 4.1 more than the 31.7 its opponents average.
Duke makes 8.4 three-pointers per game (96th in college basketball) at a 38.7% rate (15th in college basketball), compared to the 7.1 per game its opponents make, at a 33.7% rate.
Duke averages 107 points per 100 possessions on offense (seventh in college basketball), and allows 88.8 points per 100 possessions (96th in college basketball).
At home the Blue Devils are scoring 85.3 points per game, 11.1 more than they are averaging away (74.2).
North Carolina Key Players to Watch
RJ Davis leads the Tar Heels in scoring, tallying 21.5 points per game to go with 3.7 rebounds and 3.3 assists.
Armando Bacot leads North Carolina in rebounding, averaging 9.9 per game, while Elliot Cadeau leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 3.7 in each contest.
The Tar Heels get the most three-point shooting production out of Davis, who knocks down three threes per game.
Davis and Bacot lead North Carolina on the defensive end, with Davis leading the team in steals averaging 1.3 per game and Bacot in blocks averaging 1.7 per contest.
Duke Key Players to Watch
Kyle Filipowski holds the top spot on the Blue Devils leaderboards for both scoring and rebounding with 17.5 points and 8.7 rebounds per game.
Tyrese Proctor notches more assists than any other Duke teammate with four per game. He also averages 11.2 points and grabs 2.7 rebounds per game.
Jared McCain is the top shooter from the three-point line for the Blue Devils, hitting 2.2 threes per game.
Jeremy Roach (1.3 steals per game) is the steal leader for Duke while Filipowski (1.8 blocks per game) is the block leader.
North Carolina vs. Duke Prediction
North Carolina 77, Duke 73
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How to Bet on North Carolina vs. Duke
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