NEWSLETTER
The Miami Marlins open their season as -126 favorites in a home matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday at 4:10 PM ET, live on Sportsnet PT.
Miami’s Jesus Luzardo and Pittsburgh’s Mitch Keller have been named the starters for this contest.
Marlins vs. Pirates Odds
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Who Will Win Marlins vs. Pirates?
Marlins and Pirates Betting Trends (2023)
The Marlins were favored on the moneyline 74 total times last season. They went 43-31 in those games.
In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -126 or shorter last year, Miami had a record of 36-19 (65.5%).
The Pirates won 55, or 42.6%, of the 129 games they played as underdogs last season.
Last season, Pittsburgh won 49 of its 113 games, or 43.4%, when it was the underdog by at least +106 on the moneyline.
The Marlins combined with their opponents to go over the total 75 times last season for a 75-84-5 record against the over/under.
The Pirates and their opponents hit the over in 86 of their 162 games with a total last season.
Marlins Stats & Insights (2023)
Last season the Marlins scored the fifth-fewest runs in baseball (666 total, 4.1 per game).
Miami ranked 22nd in MLB with 166 total home runs last season.
The Marlins had the fourth-best batting average in the majors (.259).
The club struck out 7.9 times per game, the fifth-best average in baseball.
The Marlins pitching staff ranked fifth in MLB last season with a collective 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings.
Miami had a 4.22 team ERA that ranked 16th across all MLB pitching staffs.
Pirates Stats & Insights (2023)
The Pirates ranked 22nd in the majors with 692 total runs scored last season.
Pittsburgh’s 159 home runs ranked 28th in MLB last season.
The Pirates had a team batting average of .239 last season, which ranked 24th among MLB teams.
Pittsburgh had the 21st-ranked strikeouts per game rate (nine) among MLB offenses.
The Pirates averaged the 17th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.6) in the big leagues last season.
Pittsburgh had the 22nd-ranked ERA (4.61) in the majors last season.
Marlins Key Players to Watch (2023)
Luzardo takes the mound for his first start of the season for the Marlins.
Luis Arraez finished last season with a .354 batting average while adding 10 home runs and 69 RBI.
Jake Burger slugged 34 homers and finished with 80 RBI.
Josh Bell finished with a .247 average, 22 home runs and 74 RBI last season.
Bryan De La Cruz collected 149 hits, posted an OBP of .304 and a .411 SLG.
Pirates Key Players to Watch (2023)
Keller has been named the starter for the Pirates and will make his first start this season.
Bryan Reynolds put up 84 runs batted in a season ago.
Ke’Bryan Hayes had a .271 batting average with 134 hits.
Jack Suwinski hit 26 home runs while slugging .454 last season.
Andrew McCutchen hit .256 with 19 doubles, 12 home runs and 75 walks.
Marlins and Pirates Injuries
Marlins: Xavier Edwards: 10 Day IL (Foot), Josh Simpson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edward Cabrera: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Eury Pérez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Braxton Garrett: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Neck), Sandy Alcantara: 60 Day IL (Elbow)
Pirates: Yasmani Grandal: 10 Day IL (Foot), Ji-Hwan Bae: 10 Day IL (Hip), Carmen Mlodzinski: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Colin Holderman: 15 Day IL (Illness), Dauri Moreta: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Johan Oviedo: 60 Day IL (Elbow), JT Brubaker: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Endy Rodriguez: 60 Day IL (Elbow)
Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction
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