Mariners vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 29, 2024

The Seattle Mariners will take the field against the Boston Red Sox (1-0) on Friday. The game begins at 9:40 PM ET on NESN, with the Mariners listed as -154 favorites on the moneyline.

Seattle’s George Kirby gets the start, and he’ll go against Boston’s Nick Pivetta.

Mariners vs. Red Sox Odds

  • Mariners odds to win: -154
  • Red Sox odds to win: +128
  • Spread: Mariners -1.5
  • Total: 7 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, March 29, 2024
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • TV: NESN
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    Who Will Win Mariners vs. Red Sox?

    Mariners and Red Sox Betting Trends (2023)

    The Mariners were the moneyline favorite 112 total times last season. They finished 66-46 in those games.

    Seattle had a record of 33-20 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -154 or shorter last year (62.3%).

    Last season, the Red Sox were the underdog 84 times and won 37, or 44%, of those games.

    Last season, Boston won 16 of its 26 games, or 61.5%, when it was the underdog by at least +128 on the moneyline.

    The Mariners combined with their opponents to go over the total 81 times last season for an 81-77-4 record against the over/under.

    The Red Sox and their opponents hit the over in 82 of their 161 games with a total last season.

    Mariners Stats & Insights (2023)

    Last season the Mariners scored the 12th-most runs in baseball (758 total, 4.7 per game).

    Seattle ranked 11th in the majors with 210 home runs last season. It averaged 1.3 per game.

    The Mariners ranked 22nd in MLB with a .242 batting average.

    The club struck out 9.9 times per game, the second-worst average in the majors.

    The Mariners pitching staff was seventh in MLB last season with a collective 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Seattle had the second-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.74).

    Red Sox Stats & Insights (2023)

    The Red Sox ranked 11th in the majors with 772 total runs scored last season.

    Boston ranked 18th in Major League Baseball with 182 home runs.

    The Red Sox had a team batting average of .258 last season, which ranked sixth among MLB teams.

    Boston ranked 13th with an average of 8.5 strikeouts per game.

    The Red Sox averaged the 12th-most strikeouts per nine innings (nine) in the big leagues last season.

    Boston pitchers had a combined ERA of 4.52 last year, which ranked 21st in MLB.

    Mariners Key Players to Watch (2023)

    Kirby makes his first start of the season for the Mariners.

    Julio Rodriguez hit 32 home runs last season, drove in 103 runs and posted a .275 batting average.

    J.P. Crawford collected 142 hits, posted an OBP of .380, and a .438 SLG.

    Caleb Raleigh finished with a .232 average, 30 home runs and 75 RBI last season.

    Ty France collected 147 hits, posted an OBP of .337 and a .366 SLG.

    Red Sox Key Players to Watch (2023)

    Pivetta will make his first start of the season for the Red Sox.

    Rafael Devers hit 33 home runs and had 100 runs batted in last season.

    Masataka Yoshida hit .289 a season ago with 155 hits.

    Triston Casas hit .263 a season ago with 21 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 70 walks.

    Jarren Duran hit .295 with 34 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 24 walks.

    Mariners and Red Sox Injuries

    Mariners: Sam Haggerty: 10 Day IL (Personal), Eduard Bazardo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Bryan Woo: 15 Day IL (Elbow inflammation), Matt Brash: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Gregory Santos: 15 Day IL (Lat), Jackson Kowar: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Red Sox: Rob Refsnyder: 10 Day IL (Toe), Vaughn Grissom: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Bryan Mata: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Lucas Giolito: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chris Murphy: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Liam Hendriks: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Mariners vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Mariners 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
  • How to Bet on Mariners vs. Red Sox

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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