Two of the league’s top scorers take the court when De’Aaron Fox (eighth, 26.5 PPG) and the Sacramento Kings (42-30) host Luka Doncic (first, 33.9 PPG) and the Dallas Mavericks (43-29) on Friday, March 29, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET on NBCS. The Kings are 1-point favorites. The over/under in the matchup is set at 232.
Kings vs. Mavericks Odds
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Who Will Win Kings vs. Mavericks?
Kings and Mavericks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
When they have played as at least 1-point favorites this season, the Kings are 21-27-1 against the spread.
The Mavericks are 14-15 against the spread when an underdog by 1 point or more this season.
These teams average a combined 236.1 points per game, 4.1 more points than the total of 232 set for this game.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 0.9 more points per game (232.9) than this game’s total of 232 points.
The Kings’ average total in matchups this year has been 233.6, 1.6 points higher than the total in this particular game.
The average point total for Dallas this year is 3.4 points higher than this game’s over/under.
So far this season, Sacramento has compiled a 36-35-1 record against the spread.
The Mavericks’ ATS record is 41-31-0 this season.
Kings Stats & Insights
The Kings have a +75 scoring differential, putting up 117.3 points per game (ninth in the league) and allowing 116.3 (19th in the NBA).
The Kings win the rebound battle by 1.2 boards on average. They collect 43.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 15th in the league, while their opponents grab 42.5 per outing.
Sacramento hits 14.1 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league), while its opponents have made 13.2 on average.
The Kings average 117.8 points per 100 possessions (13th in the league), while giving up 116.8 points per 100 possessions (17th in the NBA).
The Kings have been better offensively at home, where they average 119.1 points per game, compared to road games, where they average 115.6 per game. Defensively, they are worse at home, where they concede 118.1 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they allow their opponents to score 114.5 per game.
Mavericks Stats & Insights
The Mavericks outscore opponents by 2.2 points per game (posting 118.8 points per game, sixth in league, and allowing 116.6 per contest, 20th in NBA) and have a +158 scoring differential.
Dallas is 21st in the NBA at 42.6 rebounds per game. That’s 2.4 fewer than the 45.0 its opponents average.
The Mavericks hit 1.5 more threes per game than the opposition, 14.6 (third-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 13.1.
The Mavericks score 119.3 points per 100 possessions (seventh in league), while giving up 117.1 points per 100 possessions (18th in NBA).
At home, Dallas scores 119.3 points per game. On the road, it averages 118.3.
Kings Key Players to Watch
Domantas Sabonis puts up 19.7 points, 13.7 rebounds and 8.3 assists per game.
This season, Fox is averaging 26.5 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game.
Fox leads active Kings in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.8 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Fox picks pockets to the tune of 2.0 takeaways per game, and Keegan Murray records 0.7 rejections per contest.
Mavericks Key Players to Watch
Doncic has shown out this season to lead active Mavericks players in points (33.9 per game), rebounds (9.1 per game), and assists (9.8 per game).
Doncic hits 3.9 threes per game.
Doncic’s 1.5 steals and Daniel Gafford’s 2.2 blocks per game are vital to the Mavericks’ defensive production.
Kings vs. Mavericks Prediction
Over (232)
Kings 118 – Mavericks 116
Kings vs. Mavericks Promo Codes
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