NEWSLETTER
The Western’s top two teams, the Denver Nuggets (51-22) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (50-22), take the court at Ball Arena on Friday, March 29, 2024 at 9:00 PM ET on ALT. The Nuggets are favored by 5.5 points at home. The matchup has a point total of 211.5.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds
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Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Timberwolves?
Nuggets and Timberwolves Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Nuggets are 18-20-1 against the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.
In games this year in which they were an underdog by 5.5 points or more, the Timberwolves have a 3-0 record against the spread.
Between them, these two teams average 16.2 more points per game (227.7) than this game’s over/under (211.5).
Denver and Minnesota have seen its opponents average a combined 4.7 more points per game than the over/under of 211.5 set for this game.
The average over/under the Nuggets have had set in matchups this season is 13.0 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average point total for Minnesota this season is 7.9 points higher than this game’s over/under.
So far this season, Denver has compiled a 33-38-2 record against the spread.
The Timberwolves have a 37-33-2 record against the spread this season.
Nuggets Stats & Insights
The Nuggets average 114.6 points per game (14th in the league) while giving up 109.9 per outing (seventh in the NBA). They have a +341 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 4.7 points per game.
The Nuggets win the rebound battle by 2.0 boards on average. They record 44.2 rebounds per game, which ranks ninth in the league, while their opponents grab 42.2 per outing.
Denver makes 11.4 three-pointers per game (28th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.3. It shoots 37.0% from deep while its opponents hit 35.9% from long range.
The Nuggets’ 119.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank sixth in the NBA, and the 114.5 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 10th in the league.
In 2023-24, the Nuggets’ offense has been much better at home, where they score 118.4 points per game, compared to road games, where they put up 110.9 per game. Defensively, they have been tougher at home, where they concede 109.0 points per game, versus road games, where they let opponents to score 110.8 per game.
Timberwolves Stats & Insights
The Timberwolves have a +485 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.8 points per game. They’re putting up 113.1 points per game, 18th in the league, and are giving up 106.3 per contest to rank first in the NBA.
The 43.9 rebounds per game Minnesota accumulates rank 11th in the NBA, 2.6 more than the 41.3 its opponents grab.
The Timberwolves connect on 12.7 three-pointers per game (15th in the league) at a 38.8% rate (third-best in NBA), compared to the 11.3 per game their opponents make, at a 35.0% rate.
The Timberwolves average 116.6 points per 100 possessions (17th in league), while conceding 109.6 points per 100 possessions (first in NBA).
At home Minnesota is putting up 111.4 points per game, 3.2 fewer points than it is averaging on the road (114.6).
Nuggets Key Players to Watch
The Nuggets get 26.1 points, 12.2 rebounds and 9.0 assists from Nikola Jokic.
Michael Porter Jr. leads active Nuggets in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.8 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.4 steals per game, while Peyton Watson swats 1.0 shot per contest.
Timberwolves Key Players to Watch
Anthony Edwards pours in 26.2 points per game. He also adds 5.5 rebounds per outing and 5.2 assists per contest.
This season, Rudy Gobert has a statline that includes 13.6 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 rebounds per game.
Edwards hits 2.5 treys per game.
The Timberwolves’ defensive effort gets a boost from Edwards’ 1.3 steals and Gobert’s 2.1 blocks per game.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction
Over (211.5)
Nuggets 111 – Timberwolves 110
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