Warriors vs. Kings Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets for NBA Play-In Tournament – Tuesday, April 16, 2024

The Sacramento Kings (46-36) will look to De’Aaron Fox (eighth in the league scoring 26.6 points per game) when they try to beat Stephen Curry (ninth in the NBA with 26.4 PPG) and the Golden State Warriors (46-36) on Tuesday, April 16, 2024 at Golden 1 Center. The Kings are 2.5-point home underdogs in the matchup, which starts at 10:00 PM ET on TNT. The matchup has an over/under set at 223 points.

Warriors vs. Kings Odds

  • Warriors odds to win: -142
  • Kings odds to win: +120
  • Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
  • Total: 223
  • How to Bet on Warriors vs. Kings

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    Game Time and Information

  • When: Tuesday, April 16, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET
  • Where: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California
  • TV: TNT
  • Who Will Win Warriors vs. Kings?

    Warriors and Kings Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    When they have played as at least 2.5-point favorites this season, the Warriors are 21-24 against the spread.

    The Kings have an 11-8 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 2.5 points or more this year.

    Between them, these two teams average 11.4 more points per game (234.4) than this game’s over/under (223).

    Opponents of the two teams average a combined 7.0 more points per game, 230, than this game’s over/under of 223 points.

    The Warriors’ average total in outings this season has been 232.9, 9.9 points higher than the total in this particular game.

    The average point total for Sacramento this year is 8.4 points higher than this game’s over/under.

    Golden State is 42-38-2 against the spread this season.

    The Kings are 42-39-1 against the spread this year.

    Warriors Stats & Insights

    The Warriors outscore opponents by 2.6 points per game (scoring 117.8 points per game to rank eighth in the league while allowing 115.2 per outing to rank 18th in the NBA) and have a +214 scoring differential overall.

    The Warriors win the rebound battle by 3.8 boards on average. They collect 46.7 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the league, while their opponents grab 42.9 per contest.

    Golden State makes 14.8 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league), 1.5 more than its opponents (13.3).

    The Warriors score 118.6 points per 100 possessions (eighth in the league), while giving up 116.0 points per 100 possessions (14th in the NBA).

    During the 2023-24 season, the Warriors are scoring 0.5 fewer points per home game on average than on the road (117.5 at home, 118.0 on the road), and are allowing 3.3 more points per home game compared to road games (116.8 at home, 113.5 on the road).

    Kings Stats & Insights

    The Kings’ +143 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.8 points per game) is a result of putting up 116.6 points per game (ninth in NBA) while allowing 114.8 per contest (17th in league).

    Sacramento is 12th in the NBA at 44.0 rebounds per game. That’s 1.5 more than the 42.5 its opponents average.

    The Kings make 14.4 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in the league) at a 36.6% rate (16th in NBA), compared to the 13.1 per game their opponents make, at a 38.7% rate.

    The Kings rank 14th in the league averaging 117.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 14th, allowing 116.0 points per 100 possessions.

    Sacramento is putting up more points at home (118.5 per game) than away (114.6).

    Warriors Key Players to Watch

    The scoring leader for the Warriors this season is Curry (among active players), who averages 26.4 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 5.1 assists per game.

    Brandin Podziemski adds 9.3 points, 3.7 assists and 5.8 rebounds per outing. Chris Paul puts up 9.2 points, 6.8 assists and 3.9 rebounds per game.

    Curry makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Warriors, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 4.8 per contest.

    Paul picks pockets to the tune of 1.2 takeaways per game, while Trayce Jackson-Davis compiles 1.2 rejections per contest.

    Kings Key Players to Watch

    Domantas Sabonis puts up 13.7 rebounds per game and 8.2 assists per game to go with the 19.4 points he pours in a contest.

    Fox has per-game averages of 26.6 points, 5.6 assists and 4.6 rebounds this season.

    Fox averages 2.9 made threes per game.

    Fox’s 2.0 steals and Keegan Murray’s 0.8 blocks per game are vital to the Kings’ defensive production.

    Warriors vs. Kings Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Kings (+ 2.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (223)

  • Prediction:
    Kings 117 – Warriors 116
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