The Denver Nuggets are 6.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Los Angeles Lakers at Ball Arena on Monday, tipping off at 10:00 PM ET on TNT. The Nuggets hold a 3-1 lead in the series. The over/under for the matchup is 217.
Check out below to find the best bets you can make on Monday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
How to Bet on Nuggets vs. Lakers
Pick the Nuggets (-6.5) to Cover
The Nuggets have played 82 games, with 38 wins against the spread.
In the Lakers’ 82 games this year, they have 38 wins against the spread.
So far this season, the Nuggets have been installed as favorites by a 6.5-point margin or more 40 times and are 20-19-1 ATS in those contests.
The Lakers are 3-1 ATS when underdogs by 6.5 points or more this season.
Take the Points Over (217)
Of 82 games so far this year, the Nuggets have played 54 with more than 217 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under.
The Lakers games have gone over 217 total points scored in 68 of 82 total matchups this season.
These two teams average 232.9 points per game combined, 15.9 more than the total of 217.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 227 points per game, 10.0 more than the over/under for this game.
The average total the Nuggets have had in their matchups this year is 7.5 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The average point total for the Lakers this season is 18.5 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Back the Nuggets on the Moneyline (-258)
The Nuggets have won in 53, or 73.6%, of the 72 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
The Lakers have been the moneyline underdog 35 total times this season. They’ve finished 15-20 in those games.
This season, the Nuggets have been victorious 34 times in 39 chances when named as a favorite of at least -258 or better on the moneyline.
The Lakers are 2-2 (winning 50% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +210 or longer.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nuggets have a 72.1% chance of pulling out a win.
Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Lakers have an implied win probability of 32.3%.
Top Nuggets Props
| Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
| Nikola Jokic |
27.5 |
13.5 |
9.5 |
| Jamal Murray |
23.5 |
4.5 |
7.5 |
| Michael Porter Jr. |
19.5 |
7.5 |
– |
| Aaron Gordon |
15.5 |
7.5 |
3.5 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope |
10.5 |
2.5 |
– |
Top Lakers Props
| Name |
Points O/U |
Rebounds O/U |
Assists O/U |
| LeBron James |
26.5 |
7.5 |
8.5 |
| Anthony Davis |
25.5 |
13.5 |
2.5 |
| D’Angelo Russell |
15.5 |
2.5 |
4.5 |
| Austin Reaves |
14.5 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
| Rui Hachimura |
8.5 |
3.5 |
– |
Best Nuggets vs. Lakers Promo Codes
NEWSLETTER
