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Joe Burrow could have a tough time without his linemen in the Divisional Round.

Bills Bengals Same Game Parlay: Divisional Round +1142 Expert Pick

Sports Betting

This afternoon, the Buffalo Bills will take on the Cincinnati Bengals in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs in Buffalo, New York. Get in on the sports betting action with the following +1142 same-game parlay pick.

NFL Divisional Round Same Game Parlay: Bills vs Bengals +1142 pick

The Wild Card round gave us a fantastic weekend of football. We saw the Jaguars come back from a 27-point deficit to beat the Chargers. The Dolphins were beating the Bills in the second half despite starting Skylar Thompson at quarterback. Even the Ravens without Lamar Jackson and an injured Tyler Huntley were literally inches away from potentially beating the Bengals!

With fantasy football over, there is no better way to enjoy the playoffs than betting on player props. Same Game Parlays are a fun way to get involved with potentially massive payouts. This same game parlay for the Eagles and Giants game pays out more than 11/1!

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+1142 Bills Bengals same game parlay

  • Joe Mixon under 48.5 rushing yards
  • Samaje Perine over 10.5 receiving yards
  • Josh Allen over 48.5 rushing yards
  • Bengals over 9.5 first half points (-149)

Joe Mixon under 48.5 rushing yards

The Bengals are missing their three best offensive linemen Jonah Williams, Alex Cappa, and La’el Collins, and now head to Buffalo to face the Bills who rank 3rd in run-defense efficiency. On top of this, the Bills are 5-point favorites and could force the Bengals into negative game script.

Mixon has gone under this number in roughly 50% of his games as is but given the matchup and OL injuries it may be tough sledding. He has averaged just 3.4 yards per carry since his OL started getting injured against New England but the injuries are only piling up even more.

In games against top-10 run defenses, Mixon averaged 3 yards per carry or less in 6-of-9 matchups. Given the Bills’ explosive offense and potential to put the Bengals behind combined with the OL issues, the under is a strong look for me.

Bengals over 9.5 first-half points

The Bengals have scored 10 or more points in the first half in 12-of-17 games this season. Despite the offensive line issues I think they will have some success with quick passes against a Bengals defense that doesn’t blitz much and ranks just 16th in pressure rate since losing Von Miller.

Samaje Perine over 10.5 receiving yards

This one might be surprising given his recent results but he actually ran 19 routes to Joe Mixon’s 8 last week. As I mentioned in the blurb above, the Bengals will be without three key offensive linemen which will make them get the ball out quicker. Since they started losing offensive linemen, the Bengals have averaged 8 targets per game to running backs. With Perine running more routes than Mixon, it’s easy to see how he gets over this number.

Josh Allen over 48.5 rushing yards

Athletic quarterbacks are much more apt to run in the playoffs and the betting markets don’t always reflect that. We did a study at 4for4.com that showed quarterbacks who averaged 30 rushing yards or more during the regular season, averaged an extra six yards per game on top of their normal average in the playoffs. Josh Allen qualifies and when looking at his playoff rushing results, he has more than 50 rushing yards in 5-of-7 games over the course of his career.

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Author: Connor Allen

Connor Allen utilizes advanced analytics and his knowledge of football to create an edge in sports betting and fantasy leagues. He writes a weekly player prop article that's won over 57% of the time in each of the past two seasons. He placed first and 10th in the FFPC Divisional Round Playoff Contest along with fellow 4for4 writer, Joe Paeno. Connor currently resides in Chicago where he owns a small business and can be found on twitter @ConnorAllenNFL.