Celtics vs. Hawks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Thursday, March 28, 2024

The Atlanta Hawks (33-39) are heavy, 16-point underdogs as they try to extend a three-game win streak when they host the Boston Celtics (57-15) on Thursday, March 28, 2024 at State Farm Arena. The matchup airs at 7:30 PM ET on NBCS. The over/under for the matchup is set at 226.5.

Celtics vs. Hawks Odds

  • Celtics odds to win: -1350
  • Hawks odds to win: +800
  • Spread: Celtics (-16)
  • Total: 226.5
  • How to Bet on Celtics vs. Hawks

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    Game Time and Information

  • When: Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET
  • Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
  • TV: NBCS
  • Who Will Win Celtics vs. Hawks?

    Celtics and Hawks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    The Celtics are 1-2 against the spread when favored by 16 points or more this season.

    The two teams average a combined 13.8 more points per game (240.3) than this game’s over/under of 226.5 points.

    Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 230.1 points per game, 3.6 more than the point total in this game.

    The average total in Celtics games this season is 4.2 more points than the total of 226.5 in this game.

    The average point total for Atlanta this season is 13.2 points higher than this game’s over/under.

    So far this season, Boston has put together a 38-31-3 record against the spread.

    The Hawks have gone 26-46-0 ATS this year.

    Celtics Stats & Insights

    The Celtics average 121.1 points per game (second in the league) while allowing 109.6 per contest (sixth in the NBA). They have a +831 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 11.5 points per game.

    The Celtics average 46.4 rebounds per game (second in the league) while conceding 43.2 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 3.2 boards per game.

    Boston makes 16.6 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.8 more than its opponents (12.8).

    The Celtics average 124.3 points per 100 possessions (first in the league), while giving up 112.5 points per 100 possessions (third in the NBA).

    So far in 2023-24, the Celtics’ offense has been better at home, where they score 123.3 points per game, compared to road games, where they score 119.0 per game. On the defensive side of the ball, they have been tougher in home games, where they surrender 108.0 points per game, versus road games, where they allow their opponents to score 111.1 per game.

    Hawks Stats & Insights

    The Hawks’ -93 scoring differential (being outscored by 1.3 points per game) is a result of putting up 119.2 points per game (fifth in NBA) while giving up 120.5 per outing (27th in league).

    The 44.7 rebounds per game Atlanta accumulates rank sixth in the NBA. Their opponents pull down 44.3.

    The Hawks hit 13.8 three-pointers per game (sixth-most in the league) at a 36.6% rate (14th in NBA), compared to the 14.0 their opponents make, shooting 38.4% from beyond the arc.

    The Hawks record 119.2 points per 100 possessions (eighth in league), while giving up 120.5 points per 100 possessions (27th in NBA).

    Atlanta is scoring more points at home (122.7 per game) than on the road (115.7).

    Celtics Key Players to Watch

    The Celtics get 27.3 points, 8.2 rebounds and 4.9 assists from Jayson Tatum.

    Derrick White contributes with 4.3 boards and 5.2 assists per game in addition to his 15.4 PPG scoring average.

    Tatum makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Celtics, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.2 per contest.

    Jaylen Brown averages 1.2 steals per game, while Kristaps Porzingis swats 1.8 shots per contest.

    Hawks Key Players to Watch

    Dejounte Murray’s showing this season has resulted in strong scoring and assists numbers, with 22.4 points per game and 6.2 assists per game to go with 5.2 rebounds per contest.

    Clint Capela has per-game averages of 11.4 points, 1.2 assists and 10.5 rebounds this season.

    Bogdan Bogdanovic hits 3.1 treys per game.

    The Hawks’ defensive effort gets a lift from Murray’s 1.5 steals and Capela’s 1.5 blocks per game.

    Celtics vs. Hawks Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Hawks (+ 16)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (226.5)

  • Prediction:
    Celtics 123 – Hawks 112
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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