Lakers vs. Nuggets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets for NBA Playoffs Game 3 – Thursday, April 25, 2024

The Denver Nuggets bring a 0-2 lead into Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. The Lakers are favored by 1 point in the contest, which airs on TNT at 10:00 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 217 points.

Lakers vs. Nuggets Odds

  • Lakers odds to win: -115
  • Nuggets odds to win: -105
  • Spread: Lakers (-1)
  • Total: 217
  • How to Bet on Lakers vs. Nuggets

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    Game Time and Information

  • When: Thursday, April 25, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET
  • Where: Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California
  • TV: TNT
  • Who Will Win Lakers vs. Nuggets?

    Lakers and Nuggets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    In games this season they were favored by 1 point or more, the Lakers have a 20-26 record against the spread.

    The Nuggets have a 5-5 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 1 point or more.

    The Lakers and the Nuggets combine to average 15.9 more points per game than the over/under of 217 set for this game.

    Opponents of the two teams average a combined 10 more points per game (227) than this game’s total of 217 points.

    The Lakers’ average total in matchups this season has been 235.5, 18.5 points higher than the total in this particular game.

    The average over/under in Denver’s games this season is 7.5 more points than the point total of 217 in this outing.

    Los Angeles is 38-44-0 against the spread this season.

    The Nuggets’ ATS record is 38-42-2 this season.

    Lakers Stats & Insights

    The Lakers average 118 points per game (sixth in the league) while allowing 117.4 per contest (23rd in the NBA). They have a +49 scoring differential overall.

    The Lakers average 43.1 rebounds per game (18th in the league) compared to the 44 of their opponents.

    Los Angeles knocks down 11.8 three-pointers per game (24th in the league), 2.5 fewer than its opponents (14.3).

    The Lakers’ 116.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 15th in the NBA, and the 116.1 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 16th in the league.

    The Lakers’ offense has been much better in home games (119.0 PPG) compared to road games (117.0 PPG). Likewise, their defense has been much better when playing at home (114.6 PPG allowed) when compared to away games (120.4 PPG allowed).

    Nuggets Stats & Insights

    The Nuggets’ +431 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.3 points per game) is a result of putting up 114.9 points per game (14th in NBA) while allowing 109.6 per outing (sixth in league).

    Denver wins the rebound battle by 2.1 boards on average. It records 44.4 rebounds per game, seventh in the league, while its opponents pull down 42.3.

    The Nuggets knock down 11.7 three-pointers per game (25th in the league) at a 37.4% rate (ninth-best in NBA), compared to the 11.2 their opponents make, shooting 35.5% from beyond the arc.

    The Nuggets rank fifth in the league averaging 119.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are eighth, allowing 113.9 points per 100 possessions.

    At home Denver is putting up 118.5 points per game, 7.3 more than it is averaging on the road (111.2).

    Lakers Key Players to Watch

    Anthony Davis averages 24.7 points, 12.6 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game.

    LeBron James puts up 25.7 points per game and adds 7.3 rebounds and 8.3 assists for the Lakers.

    D’Angelo Russell makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Lakers, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.0 per contest.

    Davis racks up 1.2 steals and swats 2.3 shots per game.

    Nuggets Key Players to Watch

    Nikola Jokic has shown out this season to lead active Nuggets players in points (26.4 per game), rebounds (12.4 per game), and assists (9.0 per game).

    Michael Porter Jr. cashes in on 2.7 treys per game.

    The Nuggets’ defensive efforts get a boost from Jokic’s 1.4 steals and Peyton Watson’s 1.1 blocks per game.

    Lakers vs. Nuggets Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Nuggets (+ 1)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (217)

  • Prediction:
    Nuggets 116 – Lakers 114
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