Rays vs. Mets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 5, 2024

The Tampa Bay Rays (16-18) are favored on the moneyline (-114) in Sunday’s contest with the New York Mets (16-17). Game time is at 1:40 PM ET on SNY. The Mets, with +164 odds, are favored against the spread (1.5).

Tampa Bay’s Ryan Pepiot gets the start, and he’ll go against New York’s Luis Severino.

Rays vs. Mets Odds

  • Rays odds to win: -114
  • Mets odds to win: -106
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 7 runs
  • Rays vs. Mets Promo Codes

    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Sunday, May 5, 2024
  • Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • TV: SNY
  • Who Will Win Rays vs. Mets?

    Rays and Mets Betting Trends

    The Rays are 11-14 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 44% of those games).

    Tampa Bay has gone 11-12 (winning 47.8% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -114 or shorter.

    The Mets have won six, or 42.9%, of the 14 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

    New York has entered 13 games this season as the underdog by -106 or more and is 6-7 in those contests.

    In the 34 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Rays, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 19 times (19-15-0).

    The Mets and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 16 of their 33 opportunities.

    Rays Stats & Insights

    The Rays rank 19th in runs scored with 133, 3.9 per game.

    Tampa Bay averages 0.8 home runs per game to rank 25th in MLB play with 27 total home runs .

    The Rays have the 13th-ranked batting average in the majors (.242).

    Tampa Bay strikes out nine times per game to rank 24th in MLB.

    The 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Rays pitching staff ranks eighth in MLB.

    Tampa Bay has a 4.63 team ERA that ranks 25th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets rank 17th in the majors with 144 total runs scored this season.

    New York ranks 14th in Major League Baseball with 34 home runs.

    The Mets’ .237 batting average ranks 18th in the league this season.

    New York is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking fifth with an average of 7.6 strikeouts per game.

    The Mets have a 9.3 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, fourth-best in baseball.

    New York pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.64 ERA this year, 10th-best in baseball.

    Rays Key Players to Watch

    Pepiot makes the start for the Rays, his seventh of the season. He is 3-2 with a 3.12 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 34 2/3 innings pitched.

    Isaac Paredes leads Tampa Bay in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (18) this season while batting .293.

    Amed Rosario leads Tampa Bay in batting with a .309 average while slugging two homers and driving in 15 runs.

    Jose Caballero has collected 29 base hits, an OBP of .304 and a slugging percentage of .398 this season.

    Richard Palacios is batting .311 with an OBP of .433 and a slugging percentage of .473 this season.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    The Mets will send Severino (2-2) to the mound for his seventh start this season.

    Pete Alonso has launched a team-high eight homers.

    Brandon Nimmo’s 20 runs batted in lead his team.

    Francisco Lindor is hitting .202 with seven doubles, five home runs and 12 walks.

    Starling Marte is batting .275 to pace his team.

    Rays and Mets Injuries

    Rays: Josh Lowe: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Brandon Lowe: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Jonathan Aranda: 10 Day IL (Finger), Colin Poche: 15 Day IL (Back), Chris Devenski: 15 Day IL (Knee), Peter Anderson Fairbanks: 15 Day IL (Nerve), Taj Bradley: 15 Day IL (Pectoral), Shane Baz: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Taylor Walls: 60 Day IL (Hip), Drew Rasmussen: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shane McClanahan: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Jeffrey Springs: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Mets: Tylor Megill: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Drew Smith: 15 Day IL (Undisclosed), Brooks Raley: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Francisco Álvarez: 15 Day IL (Thumb), David Peterson: 60 Day IL (Hip), Ronny Mauricio: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kodai Senga: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Rays vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Rays 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
  • How to Bet on Rays vs. Mets

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