The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Dallas Mavericks take the court to begin the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Thunder are favored by 4 points in the contest, which airs on TNT at 9:30 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 219.5 points.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds
How to Bet on Thunder vs. Mavericks
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Thunder vs. Mavericks?
Thunder and Mavericks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Thunder have a 25-15 record against the spread when favored by 4 points or more this season.
The Mavericks have a 7-8 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 4 points or more.
The Thunder and Mavericks average 18.5 more points between them than the total of 219.5 for this matchup.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 8.8 more points per game, 228.3, than this game’s total of 219.5 points.
The average over/under the Thunder have had set in matchups this season is 13.3 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average over/under in Dallas’ games this season is 14.0 more points than the point total of 219.5 for this outing.
Oklahoma City is 46-35-1 against the spread this season.
The Mavericks’ ATS record is 48-34-0 this season.
Thunder Stats & Insights
The Thunder are outscoring opponents by 7.4 points per game with a +608 scoring differential overall. They put up 120.1 points per game (third in the NBA) and allow 112.7 per contest (11th in the league).
The Thunder lose the rebound battle by an average of 2.7 boards. They are collecting 42.0 rebounds per game (27th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 44.7 per outing.
Oklahoma City knocks down 13.3 three-pointers per game (eighth-most in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.4. It shoots 38.9% from deep while its opponents hit 36.1% from long range.
The Thunder average 120.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (third in the league), and give up 113.0 points per 100 possessions (fourth in the NBA).
So far in 2023-24, the Thunder’s offense has been much better at home, where they score 123.1 points per game, compared to on the road, where they score 117.0 per game. Defensively, they have been much tougher in home games, where they concede 110.2 points per game, versus road games, where they allow their opponents to average 115.2 per game.
Mavericks Stats & Insights
The Mavericks are outscoring opponents by 2.3 points per game, with a +181 scoring differential overall. They put up 117.9 points per game (seventh in NBA) and give up 115.6 per outing (20th in league).
Dallas grabs 42.9 rebounds per game (21st in league) while allowing 45.1 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 2.2 boards per game.
The Mavericks connect on 14.6 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league), 1.5 more than their opponents. They are shooting 36.9% from beyond the arc (13th in NBA), and opponents are shooting 36.8%.
The Mavericks score 118.4 points per 100 possessions (10th in league), while conceding 116.2 points per 100 possessions (17th in NBA).
In 2023-24 Dallas is scoring 1.7 more points per game at home (118.7) than on the road (117.0).
Thunder Key Players to Watch
The Thunder active leader in points and assists this season is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who puts up 30.1 points per game to go with 6.2 assists.
Chet Holmgren contributes with 7.9 boards and 2.4 assists per game in addition to his 16.5 PPG scoring average.
Luguentz Dort makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Thunder, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.0 per contest.
Gilgeous-Alexander averages 2.0 steals per game, while Holmgren has 2.3 blocks per contest.
Mavericks Key Players to Watch
Luka Doncic has shown out this season to lead active Mavericks players in points (33.9 per game), rebounds (9.2 per game), and assists (9.8 per game).
Doncic hits 4.1 threes per game.
The Mavericks’ defensive efforts get a lift from Doncic’s 1.4 steals and Daniel Gafford’s 2.1 blocks per game.
Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction
Over (219.5)
Thunder 120 – Mavericks 112