The No. 1 seed Purdue Boilermakers (30-4) take to the court against the No. 8 seed Utah State Aggies (28-6) with a Sweet 16 berth in the Midwest Region of the bracket up for grabs on Sunday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Purdue is an 11.5-point favorite to advance in this second round matchup, which airs on CBS. The matchup has an over/under set at 149.5 points.
Purdue vs. Utah State Odds
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Who Will Win Purdue vs. Utah State?
Purdue and Utah State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season it was favored by 11.5 points or more, Purdue has a 9-6 record against the spread.
The Boilermakers and Aggies average 13.7 more points between them than the total of 149.5 for this game.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 139.9 points per game, 9.6 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
Purdue’s average total in matchups this year has been 152.8, 3.3 points higher than the over/under in this particular game.
Aggies games this season have averaged a total of 150.4 points, 0.9 more than the point total in this matchup.
The Boilermakers’ ATS record is 18-15-1 this season.
The Aggies are 16-15-1 ATS this season.
Purdue Stats & Insights
Purdue has a +465 scoring differential, topping opponents by 13.6 points per game. It is putting up 83.2 points per game to rank 12th in college basketball and is allowing 69.6 per contest to rank 101st in college basketball.
The 40.6 rebounds per game Purdue averages rank 11th in the nation, and are 11.1 more than the 29.5 its opponents grab per contest.
The Boilermakers make 8.4 three-pointers per game (80th in college basketball), 1.2 more than their opponents (7.2).
Purdue ranks seventh in college basketball with 106.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 59th in college basketball defensively with 88.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Boilermakers are averaging 89.6 points per game this season at home, which is 12.5 more points than they’re averaging on the road (77.1).
Utah State Stats & Insights
Utah State puts up 80 points per game (39th in college basketball) while giving up 70.3 per outing (122nd in college basketball). It has a +330 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 9.7 points per game.
Utah State pulls down 36.1 rebounds per game (128th in college basketball) while allowing 32.6 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 3.5 boards per game.
Utah State makes 6.4 three-pointers per game (280th in college basketball) at a 33.3% rate (222nd in college basketball), compared to the 6.2 its opponents make, shooting 28.7% from beyond the arc.
Utah State’s 103.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 27th in college basketball, and the 90.7 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 109th in college basketball.
At home, the Aggies score 82.7 points per game. Away, they average 79.6.
Purdue Key Players to Watch
The Boilermakers leader in points and rebounds is Zach Edey, who scores 24.6 points and pulls down 12 rebounds per game.
Purdue’s best passer is Braden Smith, who averages 7.4 assists per game to go with his 12.5 PPG scoring average.
Lance Jones makes more threes per game than any other member of the Boilermakers, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.1 per contest.
The Purdue steals leader is Smith, who averages 1.6 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Edey, who compiles 2.2 rejections per contest.
Utah State Key Players to Watch
The Aggies’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Great Osobor with 17.8 points and 9.1 rebounds per game.
Darius Brown II records more assists than any other Utah State player with 6.6 per game. He also averages 12.4 points and pulls down 4.4 rebounds per game.
Brown is the top shooter from the three-point line for the Aggies, hitting 1.8 threes per game.
Brown (1.5 steals per game) is the steal leader for Utah State while Osobor (1.5 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Purdue vs. Utah State Prediction
Purdue 80, Utah State 72
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