NEWSLETTER
The Minnesota Timberwolves (47-21) are underdogs (+7) as they try to continue a three-game win streak when they host the Denver Nuggets (47-21) at 9:00 PM ET on Tuesday, March 19, 2024 at Target Center. The contest airs on NBA. The matchup has an over/under of 214.5 points.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds
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Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Timberwolves?
Nuggets and Timberwolves Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Nuggets are 12-14-1 against the spread when favored by 7 points or more this season.
In games they have played as at least 7-point underdogs this season, the Timberwolves are 1-0 against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 13.5 more points per game, 228, than this matchup’s over/under of 214.5 points.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 216.8 points per game, 2.3 more than the point total for this matchup.
The average over/under the Nuggets have had set in matchups this season is 10.4 more points than this outing’s point total.
Minnesota’s games this season have averaged an over/under of 219.9 points, 5.4 more than the point total in this matchup.
Denver is 31-35-2 against the spread this season.
The Timberwolves are 34-32-2 against the spread this year.
Nuggets Stats & Insights
The Nuggets’ +304 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 114.7 points per game (15th in the NBA) while giving up 110.2 per contest (seventh in the league).
The Nuggets prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 1.6 boards. They are pulling down 44 rebounds per game (11th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 42.4 per contest.
Denver makes 11.5 three-pointers per game (28th in the league), while its opponents have made 11.2 on average.
The Nuggets’ 119.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank sixth in the NBA, and the 114.6 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 10th in the league.
During the 2023-24 season, the Nuggets are scoring 8.2 more points per home game on average than on the road (118.9 at home, 110.7 on the road), but are allowing 1.2 fewer points per home game compared to road games (109.6 at home, 110.8 on the road).
Timberwolves Stats & Insights
The Timberwolves have a +456 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.7 points per game. They’re putting up 113.3 points per game, 19th in the league, and are allowing 106.6 per contest to rank first in the NBA.
Minnesota grabs 44.1 rebounds per game (10th in league) while conceding 41.3 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.8 boards per game.
The Timberwolves connect on 12.5 three-pointers per game (16th in the league), 1.2 more than their opponents. They are shooting 38.6% from deep (fourth-best in NBA), and opponents are shooting 35%.
The Timberwolves rank 16th in the NBA with 116.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and first defensively with 109.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
Minnesota is scoring fewer points at home (111.7 per game) than away (114.6).
Nuggets Key Players to Watch
Nikola Jokic accumulates 25.9 points and 12.2 rebounds per game, with 9.1 assists.
Michael Porter Jr. makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Nuggets, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.8 per contest.
Jokic averages 1.3 steals per game, while Peyton Watson swats 1.0 shot per contest.
Timberwolves Key Players to Watch
Anthony Edwards has the top Timberwolves spot in two categories among active players: scoring (26.6 points per game) and rebounding (5.4 rebounds per game). He also has 5.1 assists per contest.
The Timberwolves have gotten 10.8 points, 6.0 assists and 2.9 rebounds out of Mike Conley this season.
Edwards cashes in on 2.5 treys per game.
Edwards’ 1.3 steals and Naz Reid’s 0.9 blocks per game are vital to the Timberwolves’ defensive production.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction
Over (214.5)
Timberwolves 114 – Nuggets 109
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