NEWSLETTER
NASCAR Texas Odds and Picks
Buckle up racing fans, because the big boys are ready to fire up their engines from Texas Motor Speedway! The green flag drops at 3:30 PM ET for the ninth race on the NASCAR Cup Series Schedule. So before drivers put the pedal to the metal, let’s review the NASCAR Texas Odds and make some race picks.
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NASCAR Texas Odds
Kyle Larson grabbed his third consecutive pole position and is the race co-favorite just like last week’s Cook Out 400 Odds. He will be looking to replicate his 2021 performance here where he led over 250 laps and won the race. The rest of the garage won’t go down easy though. Toyota drivers make up spots 2, 3, and 4 on the starting grid and have six of the top 11 qualifiers which is reflected in the NASCAR Texas Odds below. See all the post-qualifying odds below.
| Driver | Odds to Win |
|---|---|
| Tyler Reddick | +350 |
| Kyle Larson | +350 |
| William Byron | +600 |
| Denny Hamlin | +750 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +850 |
| Ty Gibbs | +1000 |
| Ryan Blaney | +1100 |
| Christopher Bell | +1300 |
| Bubba Wallace | +1400 |
| Ross Chastain | +2000 |
| Kyle Busch | +2200 |
| Joey Logano | +2800 |
| Chase Elliott | +2800 |
| Alex Bowman | +3500 |
| Chris Buescher | +4500 |
| Brad Keselowski | +4500 |
| Chase Briscoe | +7000 |
| Erik Jones | +8000 |
| Daniel Suarez | +8000 |
| Noah Gragson | +10000 |
| Josh Berry | +13000 |
| Zane Smith | +15000 |
| Ryan Preece | +15000 |
| Michael McDowell | +15000 |
| John Hunter Nemechek | +15000 |
| Carson Hocevar | +15000 |
| Austin Hill | +15000 |
| Austin Dillon | +15000 |
| Austin Cindric | +15000 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | +25000 |
| Corey Lajoie | +25000 |
| Todd Gilliland | +30000 |
| Jimmie Johnson | +30000 |
| Ty Dillon | +40000 |
| Justin Haley | +40000 |
| Harrison Burton | +50000 |
| Daniel Hemric | +50000 |
| Kaz Grala | +100000 |
AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 400 Picks
Daniel Suarez Top 10 +180 (Caesars)
Mi amigo once more! There was a lot of optimism for his teammate Ross Chastain ahead of cars hitting the track and it seems like both Trackhouse cars came ready to race. Daniel Suarez was quietly one of the better cars on Saturday posting the 6th-best 10-lap and 3rd-best 15-lap averages during practice. This should come as no surprise considering he’s performed very well at Texas in the past.
Since joining Trackhouse in 2021, Suarez has finished 12th or better in all three races here. With top 10’s coming last year and in 2021. He was also pretty good during his one season with SHR, finishing 3rd in both Texas races back in 2019. His average finish of 15.7 going back 10 races is 12th best among active drivers. And his 4 top 10s during this span are tied for 8th most as well. I expect another solid performance in Fort Worth today.
Joey Logano Top 10 +110 (Caesars)
My arch nemesis has come alive in the last couple of races. Although they don’t correlate to Texas at all, the speed shown by the 22 team is something they’ve been missing since his Championship run. His recent speed and results (11th, 2nd, 6th) heading into this race, added to his Cup Series best 10.3 average finish over the last 10 races here has me very optimistic about this market.
Helping Logano’s average finish at Texas Motor Speedway over the last 10 races are his seven top 10 finishes which is matched or bested by just two current drivers. It’s hard to ignore his struggles on 1.5s not named Kansas last season, but the top two Penske cars have been much more competitive to start this season than last. I have a hard time backing the 22 because it always seems to go awry, so proceed with caution on this bet.
