Celtics vs. Heat Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets for NBA Playoffs Game 2 – Wednesday, April 24, 2024

The Boston Celtics bring a 1-0 series record into Game 2 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. The Celtics are big, 14.5-point favorites in the matchup, which airs on TNT at 7:00 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 203.5 points.

Celtics vs. Heat Odds

  • Celtics odds to win: -1350
  • Heat odds to win: +800
  • Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
  • Total: 203.5
  • How to Bet on Celtics vs. Heat

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    Game Time and Information

  • When: Wednesday, April 24, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
  • TV: TNT
  • Who Will Win Celtics vs. Heat?

    Celtics and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    In games this season they were favored by 14.5 points or more, the Celtics have a 7-5 record against the spread.

    Between them, these two teams average 27.2 more points per game (230.7) than this matchup’s total (203.5).

    Boston and Miami have seen its opponents average a combined 14.1 more points per game than the over/under of 203.5 set for this matchup.

    The average total the Celtics have had set in games this year is 26.3 more points than this outing’s point total.

    The average point total for Miami this year is 15.0 points higher than this game’s over/under.

    So far this season, Boston has put together a 42-36-4 record against the spread.

    The Heat are 40-39-3 against the spread this season.

    Celtics Stats & Insights

    The Celtics have a +930 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.4 points per game. They’re putting up 120.6 points per game to rank second in the league and are allowing 109.2 per outing to rank fifth in the NBA.

    The 46.3 rebounds per game the Celtics average rank second in the NBA, and are 3.0 more than the 43.3 their opponents grab per outing.

    Boston makes 16.5 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.6 more than its opponents (12.9). It is shooting 38.8% from deep (second-best in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 35.2%.

    The Celtics rank first in the NBA with 124.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and third in the league defensively with 112.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

    The Celtics have been significantly better offensively at home, where they score 123.1 points per game, compared to road games, where they record 118.0 per game. Defensively, they are better when playing at home, where they allow 107.9 points per game, versus on the road, where they let opponents to score 110.5 per game.

    Heat Stats & Insights

    The Heat outscore opponents by 1.7 points per game (posting 110.1 points per game, 26th in league, and allowing 108.4 per outing, third in NBA) and have a +144 scoring differential.

    Miami averages 42.3 rebounds per game (25th in league), compared to the 42.8 of its opponents.

    The Heat make 12.5 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 13.0. They shoot 37.0% from deep, and their opponents shoot 35.3%.

    The Heat rank 21st in the league averaging 115.0 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are fifth, allowing 113.1 points per 100 possessions.

    Miami is scoring more points at home (112.1 per game) than on the road (108.1).

    Celtics Key Players to Watch

    The Celtics get 26.9 points, 8.1 rebounds and 4.9 assists from Jayson Tatum.

    Derrick White contributes with 4.2 boards and 5.2 assists per game in addition to his 15.2 PPG scoring average.

    Tatum makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Celtics, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.1 per contest.

    Jaylen Brown averages 1.2 steals per game, while Kristaps Porzingis swats 1.9 shots per contest.

    Heat Key Players to Watch

    Bam Adebayo has shown out this season to lead active Heat players in points (19.3 per game), rebounds (10.4 per game), and assists (3.9 per game).

    Duncan Robinson hits 2.8 treys per game.

    Adebayo is a solid defender with 1.1 steals and 0.9 blocks per game.

    Celtics vs. Heat Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 14.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (203.5)

  • Prediction:
    Celtics 119 – Heat 105
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