Twins vs. Royals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 28, 2024

The Minnesota Twins look to start their season with a win as road favorites (-127) in a season-opening matchup with the Kansas City Royals. First pitch is on Thursday at 4:10 PM ET on BSN, live from Kauffman Stadium.

Minnesota’s Pablo Lopez and Kansas City’s Cole Ragans have been named the starters for this contest.

Twins vs. Royals Odds

  • Twins odds to win: -127
  • Royals odds to win: +107
  • Spread: Twins -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, March 28, 2024
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • TV: BSN
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    Who Will Win Twins vs. Royals?

    Twins and Royals Betting Trends (2023)

    The Twins won 69 of the 115 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (60%).

    Minnesota had a record of 56-39 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -127 or shorter last year (58.9%).

    The Royals were underdogs in 140 games last season and won 49 (35%) of those contests.

    Kansas City had a record of 45-84, a 34.9% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +107 or more by oddsmakers last season.

    The Twins combined with their opponents to go over the total 84 times last season for an 84-77-7 record against the over/under.

    Games involving the Royals went over the total set by bookmakers in 78 of 161 chances last season.

    Twins Stats & Insights (2023)

    Last season the Twins were the 10th-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 4.8 runs per game (778 total).

    Minnesota averaged 1.4 home runs per game to rank third in the majors with 233 total home runs last season.

    The Twins’ .243 batting average ranked 21st in MLB.

    The team’s 10.2 strikeouts per game were the most in baseball.

    The pitching staff for the Twins had a collective 9.7 K/9 last season to lead the majors.

    Minnesota’s 3.88 team ERA ranked sixth among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Royals Stats & Insights (2023)

    The Royals scored 676 runs (4.2 per game) last season, which ranked 23rd in MLB.

    Kansas City hit just 163 homers last season, which ranked 26th in the league.

    The Royals’ .244 batting average ranked 19th in the majors last season.

    Kansas City ranked 15th in MLB in strikeouts per game at 8.6 whiffs per contest.

    The Royals had an 8.1 K/9 last season as a pitching staff, which ranked 27th in baseball.

    Kansas City had the 28th-ranked ERA (5.17) in the majors last season.

    Twins Key Players to Watch (2023)

    Lopez starts for the first time this season for the Twins.

    Last season, Carlos Santana drove in 86 runs while batting .240.

    Max Kepler slugged 24 long balls while driving in 66 runs.

    Carlos Correa finished last season with 18 home runs, 65 RBI and a batting average of .230.

    Willi Castro hit .257 with an OBP of .339, and a slugging percentage of .411.

    Royals Key Players to Watch (2023)

    Ragans will make his first start of the season for the Royals.

    Bobby Witt Jr. hit 30 home runs and had 96 runs batted in last season, while accumulating a batting average of .276.

    Adam Frazier hit .240 with 21 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.

    Salvador Perez hit .255 last season with 21 doubles, 23 home runs and 19 walks.

    Hunter Renfroe hit .233 with 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 44 walks.

    Twins and Royals Injuries

    Twins: Caleb Thielbar: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Jhoan Duran: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Justin Topa: 15 Day IL (Knee), Zack Weiss: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Josh Staumont: 15 Day IL (Calf), Anthony DeSclafani: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Josh Winder: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Royals: Michael Massey: 10 Day IL (Back), Carlos Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Josh Taylor: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Jake Brentz: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Kris Bubic: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kyle Wright: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Twins vs. Royals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Royals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Twins vs. Royals

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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